GeoPark (GPRK US) C: Target of US$27 per share: Doubling quarterly dividend – The highlight of the 2Q21 results is the doubling of the quarterly dividend to US$0.041 per share. Following the refinancing of its debt, GeoPark had indicated previously its ambitions to increase distributions. 5-6 wells will be drilled at CPO-5 in Colombia by the end of 1Q22. This includes 2-3 wells in 4Q21 (including 1-2 exploration wells) and 3 wells in 1Q22 (including 2 exploration wells). The first exploration w
Companies: ALV ALV BP/ CNE CNE CNE DEC ENI ENI GENL GPRK GPRK GTE IHC OSH PXT STO SDX TGL VOG
• The highlight of the 2Q21 results is the doubling of the quarterly dividend to US$0.041 per share. Following the refinancing of its debt, GeoPark had indicated previously its ambitions to increase distributions.
• 2Q21 production of 36,489 boe/d had already been reported and adjusted EBITDA was in line with expectations.
• 2Q21 cash flow from operations of US$42 mm was very high, partly due to a US$23 mm positive change in working capital.
• 2H21 production guidance continues to be 39-42 mbo
Companies: Geopark (GPRK:NYSE)GeoPark Ltd (GPRK:NYS)
• 2Q21 production of 36,489 boe/d was in line with previous indications. 2Q21 oil production at Llanos-34 and CPO-5 was respectively 24,515 bbl/d and 3,445 bbl/d.
• Production is now 38-39 mboe/d as previously reported with CPO-5 generating approx. 3,900 bbl/d net to GeoPark.
• 2H21 production is expected to be 39-42 mboe/d resulting in FY21 production of 38-40 mboe/d from 41-43 mboe/d. This is very close to our expectations and our FY21 production forecast is broadly unchanged over 2021.
GeoPark (GPRK US) C: Target of US$26 per share: 2Q21 update - 2Q21 production of 36,489 boe/d was in line with previous indications. 2Q21 oil production at Llanos-34 and CPO-5 was respectively 24,515 bbl/d and 3,445 bbl/d. Production is now 38-39 mboe/d as previously reported with CPO-5 generating approx. 3,900 bbl/d net to GeoPark. 2H21 production is expected to be 39-42 mboe/d resulting in FY21 production of 38-40 mboe/d from 41-43
Companies: JKX PHAR AKRBP AKERBP FEC GPRK GPRK TAL
Arrow Exploration (AXL CN) C; Restarting in Colombia. New team. New focus – Arrow Exploration is a C$7 mm market cap E&P focused on Colombia with 7 mmboe of 2P reserves and ~535 boe/d production. While many of the early stage companies of a decade ago such as GeoPark, Parex,, Canacol or Frontera have become larger independents, the environment for start-ups in Colombia remains fertile and Arrow is one of the few micro cap companies th
Companies: ALV AXL CNE CEG DEC ENI ENI EQNR EQNR GPRK GPRK I3E IHC JSE KOS OMV OMV PXT PESA BRDT3 REP REP RDSA UKOG
• 2Q21 production was 36,500 boe/d. This is above our expectations of 34,400 boe/d that were factoring in a more material impact associated with the protest-related curtailments.
• Based on 1Q21 production, 2Q21 production at Llanos-34 could be ~24,000-25,000 bbl/d and ~3,500 bbl/d at CPO-5.
• Production is now 38-39 mboe/d. We continue to forecast ~40 mboe/d production over 2021.
• Drilling activity continues to accelerate with exploration drilling at CPO-5 starting in 2H21.
• The exploration
Calima Energy (CE1 AU) C; Target of A$0.035 per share: Trading update in Canada – The Gemini #1 and #3 well encountered oil and gas shows as prognosed with production expected to be in line with the predicted type curves. Initial flow-back and production started on 26 June for the Gemini #1 well and on 24 June for the Gemini #2 well. Production will start at Gemini #3 in mid/late July, Calima has re-iterated its YE21 production guidanc
Companies: SNM AOI BP/ CE1 CEG ENQ GENL GPRK GPRK I3E IHC SDX
Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.035 per share: Increasing investment and production outlook - Production at the end of May was 3,100 boe/d with a further eight wells expected on stream by YE21. This level of production is above forecast and reflects the strong performance of the drilling at Brooks. Calima is increasing its capex programme from C$17 mm to C$20 mm with two new wells being added to the FY21 drilling programme (exc
Companies: XOM XOM SQZ PTR MAHAA JSE FEC EQNR EQNR CNE CNE CE1 88E PEN PEN GPRK GPRK
• GeoPark has appointed an independent chair for the first time in its history. Sylvia Escovar Gomez, who is currently an independent director at the company, will succeed Gerald O’Shaughnessy.
• GeoPark has also nominated Maria Fernanda Suarez for election as a new independent director.
• This will boost the profile of the company as one of the major publicly listed E&P companies operating in Latin America. The board of GeoPark will include three recently appointed independent directors and b
• Over the recent days, conditions in Colombia have improved. and a significant portion of curtailed production has been brought back online.
• Currently, net production curtailments vary between 4,000-5,000 boe/d, of which approximately 50% correspond to the Platanillo block, which is shut in. Remaining production curtailments correspond to the CPO-5 and Llanos 34 blocks, which depending on surface logistics are currently producing at 70-85% and 90-95%, respectively, of their capacity.
Bahamas Petroleum Company (BPC LN)/Challenger Energy Group (CEG LN)C; Target of 1.20p per share: Completing financing – BPC has raised £6.9 mm of new equity. This is an important step for the company to fund the upcoming work programme. The key near term newsflow is the drilling of the saffran#2 appraisal well that could derisk ~11 mmbbl. The company has now changed its name to Challenger Energy and will trade under the ticker of “CEG LN”.
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price
Companies: CEG BP/ CNE CNE DEC ENI ENI FEC GPRK GPRK GTE HUR NOG PXT PGR RDSA SDX SNM TETY TETY
• A national strike with protests and demonstrations started at the end of April following a new tax reform proposal (that has since been withdrawn). The action has intensified with road blockades across the country affecting supply chains and oil sales.
• As a result, GeoPark has curtailed 12-15 mboe/d net production in Colombia, including 8-9 mboe/d at Llanos 34, up to 4 mbbl/d at CPO 5 and ~2.5 mboe/d at Platanillo (Platanillo is completely shut down). The curtailed production fluctuates sign
Calima Energy (CE1 CN) C; Target of A$0.035: Strong well performance supports our view that reserves are too conservative - Three wells (2 new wells and 1 re-entry), are currently producing a combined ~505 boe/d (80% oil weighted) on an IP30 basis, demonstrating the top tier economics of open hole Sunburst wells. The well performance so far exceeds by 28% what the company had budgeted. The cost of the wells was 20% under budget (total of C2.2 mm). Current production is ~ 2,81
Companies: ALV CE1 CNE FEC GENL GPRK GPRK GTE I3E PEN PEN PXT SNM TGL
• 1Q21 financials were in line with our expectations. The company had reported previously its cash position at the end of March and there were no surprises in working capital movements.
• The FY21 production guidance of 41-43 mboe/d with US$130 150 mm capex has been re-iterated.
• Assuming (1) US$60/bbl for Brent for the balance of the year, (2) the low end of the production guidance and (3) US$140 mm capex would suggest FY21 free cash flow of US$80 mm, which represents over 8% FCF yield at the
GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$26 per share: Debt restructuring frees-up cash for potentially enhanced shareholder distributions - GeoPark has repurchased US$255 mm of the 6.5% Senior Notes due 2024 to be funded by a combination of cash in hand and a US$150 mm new issuance from the reopening of the 5.5% Senior Notes due 2027. The new 2027 Notes were priced above par at 101.875%, representing a yield to maturity of 5.117%. As a result of the transaction, the company’s
Companies: WPL WEN VOG ENI ENI EQNR EQNR FEC GPRK GPRK HUR JSE PEN PEN TAL TTE
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Savannah provided its interim snapshot yesterday and it is worth pointing out where it has come from and where it is going to, with a catalyst-rich future ahead of it. The Mina do Barroso project remains one of the most advanced spodumene projects in Europe and as such is very well located in terms of market (close to a main end-use market with all the freight savings – cost and carbon – that implies) and available green energy to power production. The project benefits from political support fo
Companies: Savannah Resources Plc
Phoenix copper today provides an operational update with plenty of work streams running in parallel. It continues to make progress on finalising plans for bringing the Empire oxide open pit into production after nearly completing its hydrological studies and finalising plans for a permanent mine office in Mackay – 5 miles from the proposed operation.
Companies: Phoenix Copper Ltd. (United Kingdom)
H1 2021 results
Companies: Jersey Oil & Gas PLC
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) reported strong interim results as copper, lead and zinc prices extended their gains up 21%, 11% and 12% YTD. H1 2021 revenue of US$101m was up 42% YoY, EBITDA of US$64m was up 52% YoY and the EBITDA margin increased 5pp to 61%. With no significant other charges, net income was up 69% YoY to US$42m. Having marked to market our commodity price assumptions, our estimates are broadly unchanged meaning CAML remains well on track for a record year of earnings underpinned
Companies: Central Asia Metals Plc
Companies: Shanta Gold Limited
£8.5m equity raise at 25p for appraisal drilling
Companies: IOG PLC
Production and cash holding update
Companies: Hurricane Energy Plc
No surprises in JOG’s interim results, with the market’s main focus – the company’s GBA Development farm-out process – ongoing. The resurgence of UK North Sea M&A has brought the shares back to life recently as the market is reminded of the scale of the resource and development opportunity JOG is sitting on. While JOG’s main focus remains on securing funding and a partner for its GBA Development, the company has indicated it is reviewing a number of potential acquisitions/mergers. JOG’s strong m
Oil declined amid Russia's plans to boost upcoming overseas oil sales and as the dollar rallied.
Futures in New York ended the session nearly 1% lower on Friday. Russia will increase its oil exports 3% in the fourth quarter, according to Interfax. Meanwhile, gains in the US dollar reduced investor interest in commodities priced in the currency.
Despite weaker prices on Friday, US benchmark crude futures gained more than 3% this week due to tightening supplies. In the US, crude inventories
Companies: FO 88E DEC EME GTC TRIN UOG WEN
Companies: Union Jack Oil Plc
The Wressle oil field, in which Union Jack (UJO) holds a 40% working interest has achieved flow rates of 964 boepd from the primary Ashover Grit reservoir. This has been attained on a restricted choke setting and no formation water has been produced as the well continues to clean up. This is very positive news for UJO given that the reported flow rate exceeds initially forecasted rates by a substantial margin and further operations to increase gas handling capacity could increase hydrocarbon
While the Permian was considered as a core region for the group, we believe this transaction makes sense. Given the new strategy, there is indeed a limited interest in keeping short cycle and high cost assets in the portfolio. This might also tell that, by selling the most liquid assets, divesting remains challenging. The good news is that, by distributing most of the proceeds back to the shareholders, Shell does not depend on divestments to fund its transition.
Companies: Royal Dutch Shell Plc Class A
Jersey Oil & Gas announced its interim results of which we believe the key news items are as follows:
i) The company had a cash balance of £17.06m as at 30 June 2021;
ii) The company indicated its farmout process is ongoing that that the company is engaged with both industry parties and potential infrastructure funders; and
iii) Regional electrification collaboration within the Central North Sea is building momentum amongst industry parties and the GBA is ideally located to be an integral p
Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target of A$0.75 per share: Good production performance – Production in August was 3,493 boe/d, up 200 boe/d compared to July as all the new wells at Brooks now contribute to production, more than offsetting natural decline. Financials for August are broadly in line with our expectations. The three new Thorsby wells drilled in August and September could be on stream for November with an individual IP rate of ~2
Companies: ALV ALV CE1 COP COP EDR IOG RDSA TETY TETY TXP
Higher metal prices saw CAML achieve a 52% and 131% increase in EBITDA and FCF respectively in the first half of 2021, facilitating an attractive 8p interim dividend declaration (up 2p on H1 2020). The H1 results are tracking our full-year estimates, which if achieved would put CAML on an undemanding EV/EBITDA multiple of just 4x and see the shares yield over 8% at current market price. Given average copper, zinc and lead prices across H2 to date are around 10% higher than our pricing assumption