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  • 16 Dec 2025

Raise Price Target To $6 (From $5) As We Transition Our Valuation Methodology; Sidoti Year End Conference Takeaways; 2026 Outlook Backed By Renewals Acceleration; Maintain Estimates


Citizens (CIA:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Sidoti & Company
    • Brendan McCarthy, CFA

    • 10 pages


 

CIA remains focused on driving growth through product development, expanding its distribution including international market penetration, and enhancing its agent/client service platforms. Elevated endowment maturities are near-term challenges. Our 2026 estimates reflect strong first-year sales growth translating into accelerating renewal-driven revenue. Our 2026 EPS estimate of $0.30 reflects a dip in benefit payments and 5% growth in premiums. We expect maturing endowment payments to peak in 2025 and that growth in renewal premiums will support margin expansion thereafter. Management highlighted CIA's domestic life insurance growth roadmap that includes expansion into an additional six states to reach 49 total, and continuing to capture share in the underserved final expense market. The balance sheet remains debt free and capital positioning is healthy, aided by CIA's reinsurance program. CIA recorded a record level of direct insurance in force of $5.38 billion at the end of 3Q:25 ($5.35 billion at 2Q:25), due to expanded distribution and sales of new products. In the investment portfolio, management is eyeing new allocations, including investment grade private placement fixed income securities; the company expects this will enhance yield going forward (average yield was 4.6% in 3Q:25). We increase our price target on CIA shares to $6 (from $5), based on applying a 16x multiple to our 2027 EPS estimate of $0.36. Previously, our $5 price target was based on a 0.80x multiple applied to our 2027 book value per share estimate of $7.12. Our updated valuation methodology better captures CIA's growth and fosters a closer comparison to peers, in our view. Our Moderate risk rating reflects CIA's rapid pace of growth and increasing capital requirements and liquidity needs.

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See all the research we have on this company.

Raise Price Target To $6 (From $5) As We Transition Our Valuation Methodology; Sidoti Year End Conference Takeaways; 2026 Outlook Backed By Renewals Acceleration; Maintain Estimates


Citizens (CIA:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 16 Dec 2025
  • Author: Brendan McCarthy, CFA
  • Pages: 10
  • Sidoti & Company


CIA remains focused on driving growth through product development, expanding its distribution including international market penetration, and enhancing its agent/client service platforms. Elevated endowment maturities are near-term challenges. Our 2026 estimates reflect strong first-year sales growth translating into accelerating renewal-driven revenue. Our 2026 EPS estimate of $0.30 reflects a dip in benefit payments and 5% growth in premiums. We expect maturing endowment payments to peak in 2025 and that growth in renewal premiums will support margin expansion thereafter. Management highlighted CIA's domestic life insurance growth roadmap that includes expansion into an additional six states to reach 49 total, and continuing to capture share in the underserved final expense market. The balance sheet remains debt free and capital positioning is healthy, aided by CIA's reinsurance program. CIA recorded a record level of direct insurance in force of $5.38 billion at the end of 3Q:25 ($5.35 billion at 2Q:25), due to expanded distribution and sales of new products. In the investment portfolio, management is eyeing new allocations, including investment grade private placement fixed income securities; the company expects this will enhance yield going forward (average yield was 4.6% in 3Q:25). We increase our price target on CIA shares to $6 (from $5), based on applying a 16x multiple to our 2027 EPS estimate of $0.36. Previously, our $5 price target was based on a 0.80x multiple applied to our 2027 book value per share estimate of $7.12. Our updated valuation methodology better captures CIA's growth and fosters a closer comparison to peers, in our view. Our Moderate risk rating reflects CIA's rapid pace of growth and increasing capital requirements and liquidity needs.

More Content

More Content

Introduce 2027 Estimates; 3Q:25 Results Outpaced Our Estimates As Distribution Expansion Continues; Trim 2026 Estimates; Endowment Maturities Persist; Maintain $5 Price Target

Companies: Citizens

Sidoti & Company

PANMURE LIBERUM: Fat Tail Friday: Pru caught up in the AI sell-off

Companies: INAC RAT SDR PRU LIO STJ BRK ASHM POLR REC JUP IHP QLT ABDN AJB ICG POLN PMI EMG RVRG

Panmure Liberum

2Q:25 Outpaced Expectations; Record Number Of Producing Agents And Insurance In Force Supports Growth Momentum, In Our View; Endowment Maturities Persist; Maintain $5 Price Target

Companies: Citizens

Sidoti & Company

LIFENET INSURANCE COMPANY (7157) Q2 FY3/26 results update: Strategic Clarity on the Path to Growth

Companies: 8750 TLX 7326 AV/ PHNX 7181 LMND 8725 7157 HIPO 6060 8630 2628 AGN ROOT

Astris Advisory

Estimate Robust First Year Premiums Continued In 2Q:25; We Forecast Elevated Benefits Paid Drove 2Q:25 EPS Lower; Expect Maturing Endowments To Peak In 2025; Maintain $5 Price Target

Companies: Citizens

Sidoti & Company
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