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Today's update from WEY reveals the strong trading momentum within the business which is said to be trading “significantly ahead of budget and market expectations”. We have put in place a new FY22E forecast showing revenues and PBT rising 27% and 82% YoY respectively, highlighting both the very strong underlying growth as student numbers expand rapidly in response to successful marketing campaigns plus significant structural drivers, and the operational gearing effect, given that few extra costs are required operationally as major increases take place in student numbers. At the same time, our FY2021E revenue forecast is raised by 23% and, allowing for extra investment, forecast PBT is raised by 10%. Based on today's announcement and our new forecasts, we feel that WEY has already achieved its target of reaching the size of a Multi-Academy Trust, while also generating healthy gross margins, good levels of cash and a highly sustainable business growth model with much further to run.
Companies: Wey Education PLC
Today's news & views, plus announcements from JET, PSN, SONG, HWDN, MSLH, PAGE, WMH, ASC, BGO, CUSN, CAY
Companies: Bango plc (BGO:LON)Persimmon Plc (PSN:LON)
Although 2020 will probably go down in history as one of the most challenging years experienced during our lifetime, it will also likely be chronicled as one of the best years for the recognition and appreciation of science. As we entered 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic was in its infancy. However, it rapidly evolved through the exponential rise in infections and mortality globally. Much has been achieved during the past 12 months in the fight against COVID-19, but, as we enter 2021, there are considerable concerns about the emergence of a mutant version of the virus and the second wave that we are now facing.
Companies: AVO ARBB ARIX BBGI CLIG DNL FLTA ICGT OCI PCA PIN PHP RECI STX SCE TRX SHED VTA YEW
What’s new: SimplyBiz’s capital markets day “CMD” set out “how” its core business would transform shareholder returns over the next two to three years:
- Core organic revenue growth of between 5% and 7% p.a.
- Core EBITDA margin of between 35% and 40% (n.b. Zeus forecasts 2020 Core EBITDA margin of 32% rising to 33% in 2021).
- Cash flow conversion on an EBITDA basis of between 70% and 80% (ceteris paribus this is 90% to 100% conversion of adj PAT to taxed free-cashflow).
- SaaS and subscription revenues of between 70% and 80% of revenues (i.e. an increase from c 59% at present, as institutions adopt DaaS “Distribution as a Service” – see page 7, Exhibit 6).
Companies: SimplyBiz Group plc
Time has produced robust interim results, slightly ahead of its earlier trading update, reflecting the gradual recovery of trading from a COVID-19 impacted March to June 2020, which saw a low in the lending book. With own-book origination holding up and arrears/forbearance falling, we view H2/21E positively but note the current UK lockdown presents uncertainty. Still trading at 20% below tangible book value, despite improved macro conditions, we see upside ahead and maintain a “BUY”.
Companies: Time Finance plc
WEY Educaon (WEY) – Corporate – Trading significantly ahead; strong momentum prompts new ’21/’22E forecast
Touchstar (TST) – Corporate – Update points to a robust trading performance and strong cash generaon in the year
Companies: Wey Education PLC (WEY:LON)Touchstar plc (TST:LON)
Full year results were well trailed in the Group’s trading update in November and are in-line with expectations. December 2020 saw the Group raise £7.1m (net) to strengthen the balance sheet and to provide the resources to capitalise on the building opportunity for hydrogen storage solutions and to accelerate growth in Integrity Management services. The Group has entered FY2021 with a strong and growing order book for defence, nuclear and hydrogen customers that underpins management’s confidence in the outlook, despite still challenging conditions in the oil & gas market. Trading in the first quarter is noted to be inline with expectation and five hydrogen refuelling station contracts worth £0.5m were secured in December alone in this rapidly developing sector. There is a strong pipeline of hydrogen refuelling opportunities, supported by ongoing development of products and services, and the Group’s long-standing presence and reputation in gas storage and safety.
Companies: Pressure Technologies plc
Further media reports that Dr Martens, the British Boot brand is planning an IPO on the LSE. It is currently owned by PE group, Permira who is expected to sell down its stake at the IPO. March 2020 YE the group had revenues of £672m and EBITDA of £184m. Deal size TBC. Upon Admission to AIM, Nightcap will acquire The London Cocktail Club Limited (the "London Cocktail Club"), which is an award winning independent operator of ten individually themed cocktail bars in nine London locations and one location in Bristol. Offer TBC Due mid Jan. HSS Hire Group, HSS.L transfer from Main to Aim. Mkt Cap c. £70m. Recently raised £52.6m. Leading supplier of tool and equipment for hire in the United Kingdom and Ireland and has provided equipment hire services in the United Kingdom for more than 60 years, primarily focusing on the B2B market. Due 14 Jan. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb.
Companies: IUG CBP KAT APP RST DIS NICL BOKU CNIC HE1
Appreciate has reported a very strong quarter – not just given the circumstances, but on its own merits. Indeed December saw the highest monthly billings in Appreciate's history.
Q3 delivered on the early promise we noted in November, with Corporate & HSV billings up 13.1% YoY to £96.3m, driven heavily by 42% YoY growth in December.
Companies: Appreciate Group plc
Like Rome, great SaaS companies aren’t built in a day. They take patience, money, 1 st class products, & ultra-secure cloud infrastructure, alongside brand recognition & adept sales conversion to create economies of scale and expanding, high margin, recurring revenues. Big Data Procurement, AI & Customs Management software firm Rosslyn is presently in the final stage of this journey. Having, as a result of its £6.8m (net) oversubscribed placing in May’20, cultivated a bumper crop of ‘ready-to-pick’ prospects.
Companies: Rosslyn Data Technologies PLC
Sales performance continued to improve in the seasonally important Q321 period. Core billings were well ahead of the prior year and December was the strongest month ever. Management is confident H221 will see the normal swing back to profitability, with the full-year performance at least in line with its expectations that underlay the H121 reinstatement of dividends. Accelerated digitalisation of the business has mitigated the effects of the pandemic, supported the Q321 progress, and positions it well for sustainable growth beyond the current financial year.
Foresight Group , the award-winning infrastructure and private equity investment manager to IPO on the Main Market (premium). The Offer will primarily comprise a sale of shares by existing shareholders (c.80% of the Offer) with a smaller offering of new shares (c.20% of the Offer) to be issued by the Company. Details TBA. Cornish Metals (TSX-V: CUSN) intends to list on AIM. The Company is proposing to raise £5 million by way of private placement of new Common Shares (the "Fundraising") to advance the United Downs copper-tin project. The Company expects that Admission will become effective in February 2021. The Company's Common Shares will continue to be listed and trade on the TSX-V in Canada. VH Global Sustainable Energy Opportunities plc, a closed-ended investment Company focused on making sustainable energy infrastructure investments, today announces intends to launch an initial public offering of shares on the Official List (Premium) of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange. Due by Early Feb.
Companies: TYM W7L BEG CRPR EUZ IRR CMCL FARN KETL AUG
RBG Holdings has updated on significant transactions completed in the Group’s Convex and LionFish divisions since its last market update in mid-September. With the Group’s legal division – RBL – continuing to trade well, management now have considerably improved visibility on financial performance, and so reinstate guidance with an expected FY20E revenue range of £24m-£26m (FY19A: £23.7m). For FY21E we anticipate revenue in the range of £26m-£29m We take this opportunity to reinstate our forecasts for both FY20E and FY21E; revenues of £24.6m / £26.9m, adj EBITDA £6.8m / £8.9m, adj EPS 5.0p / 6.8p respectively. Our forecasts are cautiously positioned towards the bottom end of guidance, with scope for upgrades when discretionary litigation asset sales or Convex transactions complete. On our FY21E forecast of 6.8p adj EPS, a mid-teens multiple of 15x PER implies the shares could be worth 100p.
Companies: RBG Holdings Plc
Anglesey Mining (AYM LN) – Mineral resources and PEA for Parys Mountain
Castillo Copper (CCZ LN) – Further assay results from drilling at the Big One project in Queensland
Central Asia Metals (CAML LN) – Stable production reported in 2020 with final dividend to be announced in March
IronRidge Resources* (IRR LN) – Sale of non-core gold project
Keras Resources* (KRS LN) – Keras increase stake in the Daiamond Creek organic phosphate mine to 51%
Power Metal Resources* (POW LN) – Molopo Farms drilling highlights nickel and PGM potential
Tertiary Minerals* (TYM LN) – Progress of Nevada exploration
Companies: POW AYM CAML KRS TYM CCZ IRR
Boku continued to see strong demand after its early December trading update, finishing the year with revenue and EBITDA ahead of consensus expectations. The Payments business was the driver of revenue upside, and lower costs in both businesses contributed further to EBITDA upside. We have revised our forecasts to reflect the strong H220 performance, upgrading FY20 normalised EPS by 15.5%. We maintain our FY21/22 forecasts as we expect the company to revert to pre-COVID-19 spending behaviour when lockdown restrictions are removed.
Companies: BOKU, Inc.