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Kape’s recent Capital Markets Day (CMD) was an extremely useful update on the many benefits of integrating complementary acquired businesses (including the collaboration between engineering teams) and the opportunities for upselling that new product development brings. Over the last six months, Kape has proceeded with the integration of PIA, expanding the growth of new users through the application of the Group’s user acquisition knowhow and technology. It has also made further enhancements to its product offering which, inter alia, will improve user engagement and retention. This note looks to bring out the main points from the CMD and highlights the significant progress that has been made this year.
Companies: Kape Technologies
U.S. futures and European stocks dropped on Friday as investors mulled a reported conflict among policy makers over a stimulus package for the single-currency region, as well as political upheaval in France.
The Stoxx 600 Index fell after Bloomberg News reported the European Central Bank is facing a potential rift over how much their emergency bond-purchase program should stay weighted toward weaker countries such as Italy. The euro fluctuated following French President Emmanuel Macron's decision to name a new prime minister after asking his government to resign. Rolls-Royce Holdings Plc slumped after the British jet-engine maker said its exploring options to raise funds to strengthen its balance sheet.
The dollar was slightly down, posting its first weekly drop in a month, while American cash equity and bond markets were shut for Independence Day. President Donald Trump will attend an early July 4 celebration at Mount Rushmore with thousands of guests who won't be required to wear masks, while his U.K. counterpart Boris Johnson urged Britons to act responsibly as pubs prepare to re-open and the government lifts quarantine rules on travel for 60 countries.
The friction at the ECB highlights the risk to markets should promised stimulus measures fall short. Investors continue to weigh policy support and upbeat economic data against relentless new outbreaks of the virus. U.S payrolls figures Thursday fuelled optimism of a V-shaped recovery in the world's biggest economy, even as Florida reported that infections and hospitalizations jumped the most yet, and Houston had a surge in intensive-care patients. Emerging-market stocks posted the biggest weekly gain in a month.
Elsewhere, crude oil dipped but remained on track for a weekly gain.
Companies: TGL JSE IAE ADME BP/ DGOC ENOG NTQ NTOG PMO RBD ROSE RDSA UKOG TRIN
Gfinity plc* (GFIN.L, 1.625p/£14.0m) | Blackbird plc* (BIRD.L, 16.5p/£55.4m) | Tern plc* (TERN.L, 11.5p/£31.1m) | The Panoply Holdings (TPX.L, 72.5p/£39.9m)
Companies: GFIN BIRD TERN TPX
We are introducing our Best Ideas for 2019 and also review the performance of last year’s picks. We suggest ten solidly financed stocks with good business dynamics that ought to be considered for core portfolio holdings and six UK domestically focused stocks that our analysts believe should perform strongly in the event that uncertainties unwind. We also introduce a new style of research from N+1 Singer which presents a Company’s dynamics and metrics in a clear and concise manner and concentrates on the pivotal issues affecting that Company and an investment decision.
Companies: BCA CLIN CLG CBP DNLM EAH STU FCRM FUTR GTLY INS GLE NICL SDL SPR TRI
Gfinity (LON:GFIN) is a world leader in the fast-growing market for esports. The company designs, develops and delivers full end-to-end esports solutions. This includes bespoke content, tournament and event solutions for commercial partners via the company’s proprietary online platform, live broadc
Interims from Gfinity, the leading international esports business, saw progress with gross profit growth and cost control resulting in reduced operating losses. Going forward, Gfinity is focusing on three core areas where it has a competitive advantage (eMotorsports, own community and building communities for others) and exiting other areas. As flagged in March, Gfinity has undertaken a strategic review and has started a series of major cost reduction measures including board and senior leadership changes and is adopting a more flexible operating cost model. It is also strengthening its balance sheet with a conditional raise of £2.25m at 1p/share plus a 1:1 warrant. COVID-19 has driven a surge in video gaming and in traffic to Gfinity’s own platforms and has created opportunities, such as the F1 Esports Virtual Grand Prix series. It has also created an increased level of uncertainty for the rest of FY20, however, with major live physical events deferred. Consequently, we are withdrawing forecasts in the interim.
CAP-XX Ltd* (CPX.L, 3.1p/£10.1m) | Gfinity plc* (GFIN.L, 1.675p/£12.0m) | MTI Wireless Edge Ltd* (MWE.L, 38.5p/£33.8m) | Newmark Security plc* (NWT.L, 1.05p/£4.9m) | Mirada plc* (MIRA.L, 95.0p/£8.5m)
Companies: CPX GFIN MWE NWT MIRA
We have refreshed our momentum style screen for the first time since inception on 26 July 2016. As before, the screen selects the 25 stocks exhibiting the most extreme momentum characteristics, according to our measurement method. From these we have selected 10 to focus on. Since inception the screen has underperformed both the main small-cap and micro-cap indices against a background of generally rising momentum. We have noted a subset of the basket, where decelerating momentum at the time of measurement appears correlated with significant share price falls since selection. We shall monitor this factor with the new screen, albeit there are only two such stocks showing this pattern, namely Lamprell (not rated) and Gear4music (not rated).
Companies: IQE SDY SUN ERGO NETD G4M GFIN ULS FUTR
The Court of Appeal yesterday issued judgment “comprehensively” in favour of property portal owner OnTheMarket’ssubsidiary, Agents' Mutual, regarding all the competition issues in its legal proceedings against Gascoigne Halman, part of the Connells estate agent chain. While the non-competition issues relating to OTM’s claim remain to be resolved, we see this as a positive in terms of investor sentiment and allows senior management to focus more on the delivery of its growth strategy.
This morning OnTheMarket (“OTM”) management confirmed that “as of 31 January 2019, it has listing agreements with UK estate and letting agents with more than 12,500 branches. This is an increase of more than 7,000 branches in just under a year since Admission to AIM in February 2018.”
Bonhill reported a maiden profit in the nine months to December 2018 and results ahead of expectations driven by a record performance from InvestmentNews. The company is now seeking to acquire Last Word Media, a highly complementary UKbased B2B media businessserving the global asset management industry, for initial consideration of £8.0m (cash & shares). To fund the acquisition, the group is raising £10.0m (gross) via a placing of new shares at 84p per share. Pro-forma forecasts have been included below. We have increased our TP to 128p (107p).Buy.
Companies: Bonhill Group
With its turnaround phase now complete, and with a new management team in place the Group is well placed to focus on its strategy of achieving growth both organically and through acquisitions. The Group has been structured to accommodate for a significant increase in scale without requiring material increases in core fixed costs. This allows for a potentially rapid improvement in profitability. We maintain our BUY recommendation.
Companies: Dods Group
Warren Buffett once said that as an investor, it is wise to be ‘fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful’. Fear is not in short supply right now.
Companies: OPM ALU ANCR BLV CONN CRC STU GATC HAT LEK MMH MCB MWE NXR NTBR NOG PAF PEG RFX SRC TEF TEG TPT VTU WYN XLM
Cash is currently £8.5m (31 May 2019: £10.2m; 31 January 2019: £15.7m); Progress converting free-of-charge trial agents to paying contracts with over 2,000 signed on an average ARPA of £297/month and 46% on long-term contracts of 3 or 5 years with shares; Launch of new home developers with Barratt Developments plc already contracted on a portal listing and additional products advertising agreement; Agent offices remain over 12,500 and UK residential listings are now approximately 86% of Zoopla’s and 65% of Rightmove’s listings; Record levels of value delivered to advertisers with visits in September expected to exceed the 25.4m achieved in May 2019;
The H1 trading update from Gfinity, the leading international esports business, demonstrates further progress in the refocusing on a Strategic Client Management model where Gfinity acts as the trusted independent partner to games publishers, sports rights holders, brands and media companies in the development and delivery of their esports strategies. Gfinity is reallocating resources towards its community, consulting and content creation streams to supplement delivery of end-to-end esports programmes. As part of this, the Company has taken the decision not to progress a material opportunity for a new contract with a customer where it has recently completed a major project. This results in a significant reduction in FY20 revenue forecasts but improved mix and ongoing cost control means that adj. EBITDA loss actually reduces. We have also reduced our revenue growth assumption for FY21 and now expect that Gfinity will move into EBITDA profit in H2 FY21. This change has implications on our cash forecasts however we note the company is in discussions with several potential strategic investorsthat would create new opportunities for the Group.