MISTRAS reported a 3Q:25 adjusted EPS of $0.46, besting the $0.29 consensus and our $0.26 projection.
Management refined 2025 guidance, putting revenue at $716-$720 million and adjusted EBITDA at $86-$88 million.
Given the solid results, we up our 2025 estimate to $0.82 (from $0.67) and 2026 to $0.98 (from $0.81). We introduce our 2027 EPS estimate of $1.21.
At the end of 3Q:25, MG had net debt of $174.5 million, or $5.47 per share, putting its bank leverage ratio at just below 2.7x. We forecast net debt of $167.0 million ($5.24 per share) by the end of 2025.
With the introduction of our 2027 estimates, we increase our price target to $18, which is 15x our newly introduced 2027 EPS estimate of $1.21. Our previous $13 price target was based on 16x our prior 2026 EPS estimate of $0.81.
Our moderate risk rating recognizes the company's moderately leveraged balance sheet, the cyclicality of its core end market, and modest customer concentration, offset by diversification efforts and cost-saving initiatives.
28 Nov 2025
MISTRAS Posts Impressive 3Q:25 Results; Management Refines Guidance Upward; Raise Estimates And Price Target To $18 (from $13)
Sign up for free to access
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
MISTRAS Posts Impressive 3Q:25 Results; Management Refines Guidance Upward; Raise Estimates And Price Target To $18 (from $13)
MISTRAS reported a 3Q:25 adjusted EPS of $0.46, besting the $0.29 consensus and our $0.26 projection.
Management refined 2025 guidance, putting revenue at $716-$720 million and adjusted EBITDA at $86-$88 million.
Given the solid results, we up our 2025 estimate to $0.82 (from $0.67) and 2026 to $0.98 (from $0.81). We introduce our 2027 EPS estimate of $1.21.
At the end of 3Q:25, MG had net debt of $174.5 million, or $5.47 per share, putting its bank leverage ratio at just below 2.7x. We forecast net debt of $167.0 million ($5.24 per share) by the end of 2025.
With the introduction of our 2027 estimates, we increase our price target to $18, which is 15x our newly introduced 2027 EPS estimate of $1.21. Our previous $13 price target was based on 16x our prior 2026 EPS estimate of $0.81.
Our moderate risk rating recognizes the company's moderately leveraged balance sheet, the cyclicality of its core end market, and modest customer concentration, offset by diversification efforts and cost-saving initiatives.