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31 Jul 2024
Danone H124 results and 15 questions for management

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Danone H124 results and 15 questions for management
Danone (BN:EPA), 0 | Danone SA (BN:PAR), 0
- Published:
31 Jul 2024 -
Author:
Omanadze Mikheil MO | Stent Jeff JS | Queulvee Camille CQ -
Pages:
14 -
Summary of Q2/H124 results
Q2 LFL sales growth was 30bp ahead of co. cons. driven by +2.9% volume growth (co. cons: +2.1%) and +1.0% price growth (co. cons: +1.5%). We noted that relative to (VA) consensus, volumes were ahead of expectations in all divisions and pricing was below in all divisions. Turning towards the bottom-line, EBIT margins expanded by +45bp (co. cons: +40bp) and this helped to drive a c.1.2% EBIT beat and +4.7% EPS beat (both vs. co. cons.).
News
We highlight that while Waters was pressured in Q2 by European weather, Q3 is off to a good start.
Earnings
We revise our FY24/FY25/FY26e EPS by +2-3%.
Investment thesis
While Danone offers temptation as a turnaround play, post a material re-rating in FY23 we believe a further re-rating will be harder to come by
Rating / target price
We maintain our Neutral rating. TP from EUR64 to EUR67 (EPS revisions and 6-month roll-forward).
15 questions for management
Assuming that NEC liabilities would be left with Reckitt, why would acquisition of its Nutrition business not make sense for you?