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07 Feb 2025
FY24 results and 15 questions for the management

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FY24 results and 15 questions for the management
- Published:
07 Feb 2025 -
Author:
Omanadze Mikheil MO | Stent Jeff JS | Queulvee Camille CQ -
Pages:
15 -
Summary of Q4/FY24 results
Q4 LFL sales growth at +2.5% was materially below consensus expectations (VA cons: +3.9%), the shortfall being principally driven by weakness in North America (+1.4% vs. VA cons at +4.7%). By division, Luxe was the principal shortfall with +1.0% LFL sales growth (cf. VA cons: +5.0%). Turning to the bottom-line, FY EBIT / margins were in-line with VA consensus, but a lower-than-expected tax rate helped to deliver a c.3.6% FY EPS beat. The dividend at EUR7.00 was c.2.6% ahead of VA consensus.
News
We highlight that L''Oreal expects beauty market growth of +4 to 4.5% in FY25 and it is determined to outperform the market.
Earnings
We revise our FY26e/FY27e EPS by c.(2)%.
Investment Thesis
We believe that consensus LFL sales growth estimates will likely remain too high and as a consequence, at best the stock will struggle to re-rate.
Rating / target price
We maintain our Underperform rating and EUR325 target price.
15 questions for management
Even adjusting for a couple of points of shipment phasing, North America was relatively weak in Q4, can you please shed some more colour on the underlying dynamics?