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  • 15 May 2024

Highlights from our 4th Future of Packaging Conference


UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPM:HEL), 0 | Stora Enso Oyj Class R (STERV:HEL), 0 | Huhtamaki Oyj (HUH1V:HEL), 0 | Mondi plc (MNDI:LON), 830 | SIG Group AG (SIGN:SWX), 0 | Elopak ASA (ELO:OSL), 0 | Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK:NYSE), 0 | Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK:NYS), 0

  • BNP Paribas Exane
    • Muir-Sands Charlie CMS

    • 7 pages


 

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Highlights from our 4th Future of Packaging Conference


UPM-Kymmene Oyj (UPM:HEL), 0 | Stora Enso Oyj Class R (STERV:HEL), 0 | Huhtamaki Oyj (HUH1V:HEL), 0 | Mondi plc (MNDI:LON), 830 | SIG Group AG (SIGN:SWX), 0 | Elopak ASA (ELO:OSL), 0 | Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK:NYSE), 0 | Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK:NYS), 0

  • Published: 15 May 2024
  • Author: Muir-Sands Charlie CMS
  • Pages: 7
  • BNP Paribas Exane


BNPP Exane''s 4th Future of Packaging Conference: 14-15 May We had the pleasure to welcome 12 companies spanning the entire value chain, from forest to packaging and everything in between, and key equipment suppliers earlier this week. We summarise our initial highlights from the last two days. Hosting leaders from across the board Participating companies this year were: Andritz, Elopak, Graphic Packaging, Holmen, Huhtamaki, Metsa Board, Mondi, SIG Group, Stora Enso, UPM, Valmet and Vidrala. Demand and pricing improving in most areas Contrasting a tough 2023, management near-universally cited improved order books, albeit in some areas driven by end of destocking effects, whilst end consumer-related evidence remains mixed. The main exception is timber due to continued muted construction activity, albeit even here sustainability trends are favourable with signs of increased use in substitution to concrete and steel. Pricing is also moving positively in most areas, albeit gains is recycled grades have largely already been eaten up in higher OCC prices. Near term, multiple supply-side shocks are particularly tightening the pulp market though some management were more wary into 2025 given new capacity coming to market. Costs remain a challenge for Nordic producers Downstream packaging companies are generally seeing a benign cost environment, following strong inflation in the last two years. Wood costs continue to rise significantly in the Nordics though with all impacted management teams believing the drivers to be structural and hence unlikely to improve. Reducing demand remains key but no one indicated plans to reduce installed capacity, albeit future additions are on hold or cancelled. Capital goods companies painted a mixed picture on demand for new projects, with main hopes here focused on Latin America. Plenty of company specific detail Andritz (=) remains more positive on pulp project demand than Valmet (+) albeit the latter is optimistic on...

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Worth the wait

Companies: UPM-Kymmene Oyj

ABG Sundal Collier

Decent Q1 results; now execution of growth projects is the key

Companies: Stora Enso Oyj Class A(Alien Mkt)

AlphaValue

Q3 clean EBIT -4%, guidance unchanged

Companies: UPM-Kymmene Oyj

ABG Sundal Collier

Paper joins the party with pulp and labels

Companies: UPM-Kymmene Oyj

AlphaValue

Good things come in threes

Companies: Elopak ASA

ABG Sundal Collier
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