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07 Mar 2025
Just Group FY24 (NC): earnings in-line, solvency and strain beat
Aviva plc (AV:LON), 569 | Legal & General Group Plc (LGEN:LON), 239 | Phoenix Group Holdings plc (PHNX:LON), 599 | M&G Plc (MNG:LON), 210

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Just Group FY24 (NC): earnings in-line, solvency and strain beat
Aviva plc (AV:LON), 569 | Legal & General Group Plc (LGEN:LON), 239 | Phoenix Group Holdings plc (PHNX:LON), 599 | M&G Plc (MNG:LON), 210
- Published:
07 Mar 2025 -
Author:
O''Mahony Dominic DO -
Pages:
12 -
What happened?
Just Group (Not Covered) reported FY24 results today. Below we discuss results vs. company consensus and read-across to peers.
BNPP Exane View:
. EARNINGS: The company reported GBP504m of underlying op profit, 20% of ahead of the 2026 target (in-line with consensus).
. NEW BIZ: Already announced: Just Group wrote GBP5.3bn of premiums in the year (excl. Funded Re), up 36% Y/Y, of which GBP1bn GIFL (Individual Annuities) and GBP4.3bn DB (Bulk Annuities). DB. New Biz profit of GBP460m grew 30% (4% ahead of consensus). Company emphasises it is now a whole of market player, having stepped into the GBP1bn deals bracket (already disclosed).
. STRAIN: new business strain was 1.3% (vs. target of 2.5%, medium-term average of 1.5%, and consensus of 1.6%).
. BALANCE SHEET: S2 ratio of 204%, up 7ppts Y/Y and 10ppts ahead of expectations, driven by non-operating items (rates, model changes).
. CAPITAL RETURNS: DPS of 2.5p, +20% Y/Y (4% ahead of consensus)
. READ-ACROSS: the new business performance and expansion into big-ticket deals was already known, so we see limited new read-across to the UK life names in our coverage (LandG, Aviva, MandG, Phoenix), albeit more competition remains slightly unhelpful for them. The lower strain than expected has been a recurring theme across the market - expect discussion on the call about how Just Group have achieved this, and whether they expect it to recur.