This content is only available within our institutional offering.
02 Sep 2022
Mining capex plans remain rock solid
Sandvik AB (SAND:OME), 0 | Weir Group PLC (WEIR:LON), 2,977 | Metso Corporation (METSO:HEL), 0 | Epiroc Ab-A (EPIA:STO), 0 | Sandvik AB (0HC0:LON), 0
Sign in
This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account
This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account
Mining capex plans remain rock solid
Sandvik AB (SAND:OME), 0 | Weir Group PLC (WEIR:LON), 2,977 | Metso Corporation (METSO:HEL), 0 | Epiroc Ab-A (EPIA:STO), 0 | Sandvik AB (0HC0:LON), 0
- Published:
02 Sep 2022 -
Author:
Mounsey Jonathan MJ | Gjani Bruno BG | Koski Andreas AK -
Pages:
24 -
We have screened what miners have said during the earnings season; most of them remain quite optimistic. A capex deterioration does not seem imminent and mining production is expected to grow. We remain positive on mining equipment names and prefer Metso Outotec and Weir Group.
Macro uncertainty does not seem to be impacting mining capex plans...
We have screened data and commentary from eleven of the world''s largest public mining companies to assess their near-term outlooks and capital expenditure. Most of them are talking about macro uncertainties, but they have not cut back on capex plans as demand for raw materials is expected to increase strongly over the next decade, partly driven by the energy transition and electrification trend. As Rio Tinto said: If we start adjusting our capex program because we think there is a recession in the next 6 months, we have lost it. We are in for the long haul here. Capex for our sample is expected increase by more than 20% in 2022. Most names included in our screening have now started to provide capex guidance for 2023, and a significant capex decline does not seem imminent. On aggregate, capex is expected to increase by 7% in 2023 compared to 2022.
... and mining production is expected to grow
Production guidance from our sample population continues to indicate growth across several key metals, in part driven by a recovering demand-supply balance and the global energy transition. Disruptions and lower ore grades impacted production levels negatively in H1''22, but growth rates are expected to pick up strongly in H2. Our mining production tracker paints a similar picture and if it proves correct, an acceleration of mining production growth between Q3''22-Q2''23 should offer support to the aftermarket businesses of our mining equipment exposed names.
How to play this? We prefer Metso Outotec and Weir Group
We remain relatively positive on the mining equipment space. Our top picks are Metso Outotec and Weir...