This content is only available within our institutional offering.


Sign in
This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account
This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account
Q323 sales and 15 questions for management
Danone (BN:EPA), 0 | Danone SA (BN:PAR), 0
- Published:
26 Oct 2023 -
Author:
Omanadze Mikheil MO | Stent Jeff JS | Kayser Leon LK -
Pages:
12 -
Summary of Q323 sales
A strong quarter from Danone with LFL sales growth of +6.2% coming materially ahead of co. consensus expectations (+4.7%). The beat was principally driven by pricing (6.6% vs. co. cons. at +5.4%) which came ahead of (VA) consensus expectations in all divisions and nearly all regions (China, Oceania and North Asia being the only exception).
News
We highlight that Danone expects to see cost inflation in FY24 and expects that its pricing will be positive.
Earnings
We make only relatively modest revisions to our FY23e/FY24e/FY25e EPS.
Investment thesis
While Danone is relatively inexpensive, we have concerns on the sustainability of Chinese infant formula profits and we believe that LFL sales growth in FY24 will likely underwhelm.
Rating and target price
We maintain our Underperform rating and EUR54 target price.
15 questions for management
EDP Europe will clearly benefit from a very depressed comparative in Q4, on an absolute sequential basis are you seeing a material improvement in volumes in this business?