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05 Feb 2025
STEEL US, CBAM, US SCRAP, US PLATE, NUE, PREVIEW, MT

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STEEL US, CBAM, US SCRAP, US PLATE, NUE, PREVIEW, MT
Rio Tinto plc (RIO:LON), 4,344 | SSAB (SSAB-A:STO), 0 | SSAB AB Class B (SSAB.B:OME), 0 | ArcelorMittal SA (MT:AMS), 0 | United States Steel Corporation (X:NYSE), 0 | United States Steel Corporation (X:NYS), 0 | Nucor Corporation (NUE:NYSE), 0 | Nucor Corporation (NUE:NYS), 0
- Published:
05 Feb 2025 -
Author:
Zeng Qiang QZ -
Pages:
11 -
In a nutshell:
. STEEL US: Punitive countervailing duties slapped on Vietnam in CORE case
. CLIMATE: Carbon Markets: Political game changer
. US SCRAP: Scrap prices expected to soar in February
. US PLATE: NUE (+) hikes plate offers by another +USD 40/st
. ArcelorMittal (+): How low can capex go? - 6 February
Daily Prices as of February 4th
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PRICE MOVERS
. MACRO/COMMODITY WRAP: Base metals trading mostly weaker on the SHFE this morning on China''s return from holiday today; zinc -1.2%, nickel -0.4%, copper -0.3%, aluminium unch. The Yangshan copper cathode premium declining USD 3/t on China''s return, back to levels one-month ago. The dollar continues its slide from peak tariff fear early Monday morning, trading -0.1% this morning.
Iron ore futures declined this morning (-0.6% in Dalian) amid the trade tensions and China''s services activity expanding at a slower pace in January. This comes despite Rio Tinto (+) noting yesterday that it had begun clearing iron ore ships from ports as two tropical cyclones offshore complicate efforts to repair infrastructure damaged by a cyclone last month.
Gold (2,856/oz) hit a fresh all-time high this morning, boosted by safe haven demand from China-US trade war fears as US President Trump yesterday said he is in ''no hurry'' to speak to Chinese President Xi.
. Macro data this week: Eurozone HCOB Service (cons. 51.2), US ADP (cons. 155K) and US ISM services (cons. 54.3) today; US Nonfarm Payrolls (cons. 150K) on Friday.
. STEEL US - Punitive countervailing duties slapped on Vietnam in CORE case: The US Department of Commerce announced the preliminary countervailing duties (CVD) in the corrosion-resistant steel products (CORE) case. The DoC assigned largely non-material subsidy rates against Brazil (CSN, Usiminas...), Mexico (Ternium...) and Canada (Stelco, Dofasco...), averaging between 1-2%. This does not come as a surprise for those countries which account for 45% of the US HDG import supply. However, Vietnam,...