• Research Tree
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Events
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest
  • Explore Content
    • Explore

      • Providers
        • Providers

          • Free/Commissioned
          • High Net Worth Offering
          • Institutional Offering

          Free/Commissioned

          Research that is free to access for all investors. Companies commission these providers to write research about them.

          View Research

          What is our Main Bundle Offering?

          Brokers who write research on their corporate clients and make it available through our main bundle offering.

          View Research

          What is Institutional?

          Research that is paid for directly by asset managers. Only accessible to institutional investors permissioned for access.

          View Research
      • Regions
        • Regions

          • UK
          • Rest of EMEA
          • N America
          • APAC
          • LatAm
      • Exchanges
        • Exchanges

          • Aquis Apex
          • Australian Securities Exchange
          • Canadian Securities Exchange
          • Euronext Paris
          • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
          • SIX Swiss Exchange
      • Sectors
        • Sector Coverage

          • Building & Construction
          • Discretionary Personal Goods
          • Discretionary Retail
          • Energy
          • Health
          • Investment Trusts
          • Media
          • Resources
          • Technology
      • Small / Large Cap
        • Small / Large Cap

          • UK100
          • UK250
          • UK Smallcap
          • UK Other Main Markets
          • Other
  • Login
  • Sign Up
LIVE

Event in Progress:

Join Here ×

working
  • 13 Feb 2026

Lyft 4Q25: Record Results, Softer Quarter Ahead


Lyft Inc (LYFT:NYSE), 0 | Lyft, Inc. Class A (LYFT:NAS), 0

  • Hypothesis Research
    • Marina Alekseenkova

    • 6 pages


 

 Lyft reported a 19% increase in Gross Bookings (GB) to $5.1bn in 4Q25. Revenue, however, came in lower at $1.6bn, reflecting a $168mn impact from legal, tax, and regulatory reserve changes and settlements. The company also recognized a benefit from the release of a valuation allowance, resulting in net earnings of $2.8bn for 4Q25. Active Riders reached 29.2mn (+18.2% YoY), compared to 24.7mn a year earlier. Total rides increased to 243.5mn, up 11.4% YoY in 4Q25, though rides declined 2.1% sequentially. Revenue per active rider decreased 7.1% QoQ and 13.1% YoY. Competitive pricing and incentives on the platform are likely to persist into 1Q26, usually the seasonally weakest quarter of the year. Lyft remains confident that ridesharing demand is healthy and that its platform is well positioned to drive Gross Bookings growth through 2027. On the positive side, the company continues to exercise discipline over operating expenses. Total costs and expenses increased 16.8% YoY in 4Q25, compared with 13.6% revenue growth ( excluding the $168mn reserve adjustment). Lyft reported an operating loss of $185mn in 4Q25. A $2902.7mn income tax benefit resulted in net income of $2,755mn in 4Q. In FY2025, Lyft delivered 51.3mn rides, up 16% YoY, and generated Gross Bookings of $18.5bn, up 15% YoY. The company reported record Adjusted EBITDA of $529mn, up 38% YoY, and free cash flow of $1.12bn. The Board of Directors approved a $1bn share repurchase program (c.15% of Lyft’s market capitalization), following c$500mn of stock repurchases in 2025.  Lyft has begun onboarding autonomous vehicles (AVs) across several cities. In 2026, the company plans to deploy dozens of Baidu AVs in London on its platform, with the fleet expected to scale to hundreds of vehicles over time. AV deployment is also scheduled for Hamburg, marking Lyft’s first expansion into Germany. Additionally, Lyft plans to launch AV services in Nashville in partnership with Waymo, and in Dallas with Mobileye and Marubeni. The company views a hybrid model—combining human drivers and AVs—as the most efficient structure to capture the multi-trillion-dollar opportunity in the AV market. Lyft expects AV deployment to expand the overall ridesharing market, complementing rather than replacing human drivers. That said, the development and scaling of the AV market may take time.  In 2026, Lyft expects Gross Bookings to accelerate toward its 2027 targets of $25bn in Gross Bookings, $1bn in Adjusted EBITDA, and $1bn in free cash flow. For 1Q26, Gross Bookings are projected in the range of $4.86–5.0bn (+17–20% YoY), with Adjusted EBITDA of $120–140mn. Lyft believes its global expansion strategy and continued partnership development are key pillars of long-term growth. Notable partnerships with DoorDash and United Airlines have resulted in 3mn linked accounts and several hundred thousand linked accounts, respectively. However, we believe seasonal weakness and ongoing pricing pressure could weigh on the stock in the near term. We have reviewed our forecasts and adjusted our 12-month DCF-based target price to $24.4 (from $25.5), while maintaining our Buy rating. Our current estimates do not yet incorporate the impact of recent acquisitions.

Sign up for free to access

Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.

Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.


Get Started
Already a member? Log in here

Lyft 4Q25: Record Results, Softer Quarter Ahead


Lyft Inc (LYFT:NYSE), 0 | Lyft, Inc. Class A (LYFT:NAS), 0

  • Published: 13 Feb 2026
  • Author: Marina Alekseenkova
  • Pages: 6
  • Hypothesis Research


 Lyft reported a 19% increase in Gross Bookings (GB) to $5.1bn in 4Q25. Revenue, however, came in lower at $1.6bn, reflecting a $168mn impact from legal, tax, and regulatory reserve changes and settlements. The company also recognized a benefit from the release of a valuation allowance, resulting in net earnings of $2.8bn for 4Q25. Active Riders reached 29.2mn (+18.2% YoY), compared to 24.7mn a year earlier. Total rides increased to 243.5mn, up 11.4% YoY in 4Q25, though rides declined 2.1% sequentially. Revenue per active rider decreased 7.1% QoQ and 13.1% YoY. Competitive pricing and incentives on the platform are likely to persist into 1Q26, usually the seasonally weakest quarter of the year. Lyft remains confident that ridesharing demand is healthy and that its platform is well positioned to drive Gross Bookings growth through 2027. On the positive side, the company continues to exercise discipline over operating expenses. Total costs and expenses increased 16.8% YoY in 4Q25, compared with 13.6% revenue growth ( excluding the $168mn reserve adjustment). Lyft reported an operating loss of $185mn in 4Q25. A $2902.7mn income tax benefit resulted in net income of $2,755mn in 4Q. In FY2025, Lyft delivered 51.3mn rides, up 16% YoY, and generated Gross Bookings of $18.5bn, up 15% YoY. The company reported record Adjusted EBITDA of $529mn, up 38% YoY, and free cash flow of $1.12bn. The Board of Directors approved a $1bn share repurchase program (c.15% of Lyft’s market capitalization), following c$500mn of stock repurchases in 2025.  Lyft has begun onboarding autonomous vehicles (AVs) across several cities. In 2026, the company plans to deploy dozens of Baidu AVs in London on its platform, with the fleet expected to scale to hundreds of vehicles over time. AV deployment is also scheduled for Hamburg, marking Lyft’s first expansion into Germany. Additionally, Lyft plans to launch AV services in Nashville in partnership with Waymo, and in Dallas with Mobileye and Marubeni. The company views a hybrid model—combining human drivers and AVs—as the most efficient structure to capture the multi-trillion-dollar opportunity in the AV market. Lyft expects AV deployment to expand the overall ridesharing market, complementing rather than replacing human drivers. That said, the development and scaling of the AV market may take time.  In 2026, Lyft expects Gross Bookings to accelerate toward its 2027 targets of $25bn in Gross Bookings, $1bn in Adjusted EBITDA, and $1bn in free cash flow. For 1Q26, Gross Bookings are projected in the range of $4.86–5.0bn (+17–20% YoY), with Adjusted EBITDA of $120–140mn. Lyft believes its global expansion strategy and continued partnership development are key pillars of long-term growth. Notable partnerships with DoorDash and United Airlines have resulted in 3mn linked accounts and several hundred thousand linked accounts, respectively. However, we believe seasonal weakness and ongoing pricing pressure could weigh on the stock in the near term. We have reviewed our forecasts and adjusted our 12-month DCF-based target price to $24.4 (from $25.5), while maintaining our Buy rating. Our current estimates do not yet incorporate the impact of recent acquisitions.

More Content

More Content

Lyft 3Q25: Partnerships Boost Gross Bookings; 12M FCF Tops $1bn

Companies: Lyft Inc (LYFT:NYSE)Lyft, Inc. Class A (LYFT:NAS)

Hypothesis Research

Lyft, Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy, Market Positioning, Ride Sharing Macro & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, Key Risks (07/22)

Companies: Lyft Inc (LYFT:NYSE)Lyft, Inc. Class A (LYFT:NAS)

Baptista Research

Lyft 2Q25: Record Gross Bookings and FCF, FreeNow closure

Companies: Lyft Inc (LYFT:NYSE)Lyft, Inc. Class A (LYFT:NAS)

Hypothesis Research

Lyft Inc: Marketing & Advertising Unit & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (09/22)

Companies: Lyft Inc (LYFT:NYSE)Lyft, Inc. Class A (LYFT:NAS)

Baptista Research

Lyft 1Q25: Strong Revenue Growth in a Seasonally Weak Quarter

Companies: Lyft Inc (LYFT:NYSE)Lyft, Inc. Class A (LYFT:NAS)

Hypothesis Research
Research Tree
Useful Links
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • RNS/Newswires Feeds
  • Providers Hub
  • Company Hub
  • Stock Pick League
  • iOS and Android Apps
Account
  • Login
  • Join Now
  • Contact
  • Follow us on Linkedin
  • Follow us on X

© Research Tree 2026

  • Apple Store
  • Play Store
  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy and Statement on Cookies

Research Tree will never share your details with third parties for marketing purposes. Research Tree distributes research documents that have been produced and approved by Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) Authorised & Regulated firms as well as relevant content from non-authorised sources, who are not regulated but the information is in the public domain. For the avoidance of doubt Research Tree is not giving advice, nor has Research Tree validated any of the information.

Research Tree is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures which is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Top
  • Home
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Event Hub
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest Tracker
  • Explore Content
    • Regions
      • UK
      • Rest of EMEA
      • N America
      • APAC
      • LatAm
    • Exchanges
      • Aquis Apex
      • Australian Securities Exchange
      • Canadian Securities Exchange
      • Euronext Paris
      • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
      • SIX Swiss Exchange
    • Sectors
      • Automobile Industry
      • Banks
      • Building & Construction
      • Chemicals
      • Discretionary Personal Goods
      • Discretionary Retail
      • Energy
      • ETFs
      • Financial Services
      • Food & Drink
      • Food Production
      • Health
      • Household Goods & DIY
      • Industrial Equipment, Goods & Services
      • Insurance & Reinsurance
      • Investment Trusts
      • Leisure, Tourism & Travel
      • Media
      • Open-ended Funds
      • Other
      • Real Estate
      • Resources
      • Staple Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecoms
      • Trusts, ETFs & Funds
      • Utilities
    • Small / Large Cap
      • UK100
      • UK250
      • UK Smallcap
      • UK Other Main Markets
      • Other
    • Private/EIS
      • EIS Single Company
      • EIS/SEIS Funds
      • IHT Products
      • SEIS Single Company
      • VCT Funds
  • Providers
    • Free/Commissioned
      • Actinver
      • Actio Advisors
      • Allenby Capital
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Asset TV
      • Astris Advisory
      • Atrium Research
      • Baden Hill
      • BlytheRay
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Bondcritic
      • Bowsprit Partners Limited
      • Brand Communications
      • Brokerlink
      • BRR Media
      • Calvine Partners
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Capital Markets Brokers
      • Cavendish
      • Checkpoint Partners
      • Clear Capital Markets
      • Couloir Capital
      • Doceo
      • Edison
      • EM Spreads
      • Engage Investor
      • Equity Development
      • eResearch
      • First Equity
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • focusIR
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • goetzpartners securities Limited
      • Golden Section Capital
      • GreenSome Finance
      • GSBR Research
      • H2 Radnor
      • Hardman & Co
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hypothesis Research
      • InterAxS Global
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • London Stock Exchange
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Mello Events
      • Messari Research
      • Morphose Capital Partners
      • MUFG Corporate Markets IR
      • Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Optimo Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Paul Scott
      • Peel Hunt
      • PIWORLD / Progressive
      • Proactive
      • Progressive Equity Research
      • Quantum Research Group
      • QuotedData
      • RaaS Research Group
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Resolve Research
      • SEAL Advisors Ltd
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • StockBox
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Curious Compounder
      • The Edge Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • ThinkFront
      • Tring Triangle
      • Trinity Delta
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • UK Investor Group
      • ValueTrack
      • Vox Markets
      • VRS International S.A. - Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS)
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Yaru Investments
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
    • High Net Worth Offering
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Acquisdata
      • AlphaValue
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • Baptista Research
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Hybridan
      • ISTAR Capital
      • Kemeny Capital
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Louis Capital
      • Magnitogorsk Iron and steel works
      • Medley Global Advisors
      • Northland Capital Partners
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Shard Capital
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel FirstEnergy
      • Stockdale Securities
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • VSA Capital
      • Whitman Howard
      • xxxxxx_deleted
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zeus Capital
    • Institutional Offering
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • BNP Paribas Exane
      • Bondcritic
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • Edison
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • Golden Section Capital
      • Goodbody
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hybridan
      • InterAxS Global
      • Investec Bank
      • ISTAR Capital
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Numis
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Peel Hunt
      • QuotedData
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Shard Capital
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel
      • StockBox
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Tring Triangle
      • ValueTrack
      • Velocity Trade
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
  • Contact
  • Sign Up
  • Sign In