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05 May 2021
Investec UK Daily: 05/05/2021
boohoo group Plc (DEBS:LON), 12.6 | Iomart Group PLC (IOM:LON), 24.1 | Johnson Service Group PLC (JSG:LON), 136 | McBride plc (MCB:LON), 114 | OSB Group PLC (OSB:LON), 546
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Investec UK Daily: 05/05/2021
boohoo group Plc (DEBS:LON), 12.6 | Iomart Group PLC (IOM:LON), 24.1 | Johnson Service Group PLC (JSG:LON), 136 | McBride plc (MCB:LON), 114 | OSB Group PLC (OSB:LON), 546
- Published:
05 May 2021 -
Author:
Julian Yates | Roger Phillips | Ben Hunt, CFA | Kate Calvert | Nicola Mallard | Ben Cohen | Ian Gordon | Tom Callan | Tom Brookhouse -
Pages:
10 -
“An increase in activity”. Though clearly early-days, today’s statement flags an encouraging increase in HORECA volumes post the relaxation of government restrictions (12-Apr onwards). The Group has traded in-line with our expectations for Apr-21 at c.30% of normalised volumes (up from c.11% in Q1/21) with “further increases in volumes expected as restrictions, particularly on hotel stays, are relaxed” (17-May at the earliest) - underpinning our expectations for the half and as per the Group’s Base-case scenario (c.50% of normalised levels by H1/21).
Positive read-across from WTB. Given recent contract wins, the Group now services c.50% of the entire UK Premier Inn estate; we note the positive read-across from Whitbread’s (WTB.L, N/R) FY21 results (Apr-21) i.e. an expectation for “strong demand for 'staycations' in UK tourist destinations over summer”.
Workwear (unsurprisingly) resilient. Encouragingly, Workwear volumes have continued to hold up well at c.96% of normalised levels in Mar-21 and with a slight - but continuous - improvement throughout April as more businesses reopened. On our current forecasts, Workwear represents c.51% of Group revenue and we expect it to generate c.£22.5m adj EBITA in FY21E.
Strategic positioning. Poised for an expected further snap-back in volumes, the Group has commenced the commissioning of Leeds (capable of c.1m pieces/week); it is expected to be operational by 17-May and facilitate the transfer of work for Yorkshire-based customers currently processed in Wales (bringing about associated margin benefits, given reduced trunking). Furthermore, we flag that the factories mothballed during Q4/20 are now also operational (albeit with reduced headcount to match demand) and that the Exeter site fit-out remains on track for a Q4/21 completion (as modelled).