• Research Tree
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Events
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest
  • Explore Content
    • Explore

      • Providers
        • Providers

          • Free/Commissioned
          • High Net Worth Offering
          • Institutional Offering

          Free/Commissioned

          Research that is free to access for all investors. Companies commission these providers to write research about them.

          View Research

          What is our Main Bundle Offering?

          Brokers who write research on their corporate clients and make it available through our main bundle offering.

          View Research

          What is Institutional?

          Research that is paid for directly by asset managers. Only accessible to institutional investors permissioned for access.

          View Research
      • Regions
        • Regions

          • UK
          • Rest of EMEA
          • N America
          • APAC
          • LatAm
      • Exchanges
        • Exchanges

          • Aquis Apex
          • Australian Securities Exchange
          • Canadian Securities Exchange
          • Euronext Paris
          • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
          • SIX Swiss Exchange
      • Sectors
        • Sector Coverage

          • Building & Construction
          • Discretionary Personal Goods
          • Discretionary Retail
          • Energy
          • Health
          • Investment Trusts
          • Media
          • Resources
          • Technology
      • Small / Large Cap
        • Small / Large Cap

          • UK100
          • UK250
          • UK Smallcap
          • UK Other Main Markets
          • Other
  • Login
  • Sign Up
LIVE

Event in Progress:

Join Here ×

working
  • 16 Dec 2019

Investec UK Daily: 16/12/2019


Chemring Group PLC (CHG:LON), 416 | Pennon Group Plc (PNN:LON), 503 | Severn Trent Plc (SVT:LON), 2,681 | United Utilities Group PLC (UU:LON), 1,108

  • Investec Bank
    • Alastair Reid | Ross Broadfoot | Ben Bourne | Rory Smith

    • 8 pages


 

This content is only available within our institutional offering.

Sign in

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account


Sign In
Not a commercial user? Register here for our wider research bundle

Investec UK Daily: 16/12/2019


Chemring Group PLC (CHG:LON), 416 | Pennon Group Plc (PNN:LON), 503 | Severn Trent Plc (SVT:LON), 2,681 | United Utilities Group PLC (UU:LON), 1,108

  • Published: 16 Dec 2019
  • Author: Alastair Reid | Ross Broadfoot | Ben Bourne | Rory Smith
  • Pages: 8
  • Investec Bank


Ofwat’s PR19 final determinations, published this morning need to be looked at in the round, but we focus on three key components: WACC, totex, and ODIs. Ofwat has set the WACC at 2.92% CPIH real (4.98% nominal) at the wholesale level, with the cost of equity at 4.19%% CPIH real, and the overall cost of debt at 2.14% CPIH real. Our estimates for WACC was 2.94% CPIH real (5% nominal), with a cost of equity of 4.47% CPIH real, and an overall cost of debt of 2.10% CPIH real. (See Figure 1) Totex allowances are broadly unchanged for each of the three listed companies. Severn Trent Water has allowed totex of £6,463m vs. £6,475m as at July’s slow-track draft determinations, South West Water has allowed totex of £1,994m vs. £1,944m, and United Utilities has allowed totex of £5,814m vs. £5,837m. Severn Trent’s Hafren Dyfrdwy’s allowed totex is £166m vs. £164m at draft determination. (See Figure 2) We have compared the key common and bespoke ODIs for the three listed companies to the position set out in April’s fast-track draft determinations. Severn Trent’s ODI RORE range is now -2.83% (P10) to +1.90% (P90) vs. -3.9% (P10) to +1.7% (P90). (See Figure 3) South West Water’s (Pennon’s) ODI RORE range is now -2.12% (P10) to +1.84% (P90) vs. -3.2% (P10) to +1.6% (P90). (See Figure 8) United Utilities’ ODI RORE range is now -1.38% (P10) to +1.21% (P90) vs. -2.3% (P10) to +1.0% (P90). (See Figure 13). We note, however, that July’s slow-track draft determinations had negative implications for United Utilities, so today’s announcement also needs to be viewed in this context. We view today’s announcement as a moderate positive for the listed companies, with the added benefit of an extended period of clarity. For United Utilities, an accelerated shift to CPIH is revenue positive, and should assist in reducing fears over dividend sustainability. Our estimates, target prices and rating for each of Pennon, Severn Trent, and United Utilities are placed under review as we work through the significant detail presented today. Ofwat is hosting a City Briefing on the final determinations at 2pm (GMT) today. This can be accessed via +44 330 336 9411, title: Ofwat City Briefing, code: 3717627.

More Content

More Content

VSA Capital Tech & Transitional Energy 270225

Companies: CRWDNVDAAVGCHGAURR

VSA Capital

Most popular equity research this week | 14-18 Nov

Companies: AVONBTRWGNSJET2SVTKRSWJGNG/VLGHZDTILSRTHMKAPECRE0J2R

Research Tree

FTSE 100 sinks as Fed turns hawkish ahead of BoE rates decision; Serco rallies - Market Report

Companies: Severn Trent Plc

Proactive

Implications of Trumponomics for equities

Companies: PWTN0QMWAHTBMSHILSHTGFOURULEVCTWEIRNFGBLTGCOBCHGMCROHNGBUR

Research Tree

HY23/24: bills follow in the path of inflation

Companies: United Utilities Group PLC

AlphaValue
Research Tree
Useful Links
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • RNS/Newswires Feeds
  • Providers Hub
  • Company Hub
  • Stock Pick League
  • Chrome Extension
  • iOS and Android Apps
Account
  • Login
  • Join Now
  • Contact
  • Follow us on Linkedin
  • Follow us on X

© Research Tree 2025

  • Apple Store
  • Play Store
  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy and Statement on Cookies

Research Tree will never share your details with third parties for marketing purposes. Research Tree distributes research documents that have been produced and approved by Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) Authorised & Regulated firms as well as relevant content from non-authorised sources, who are not regulated but the information is in the public domain. For the avoidance of doubt Research Tree is not giving advice, nor has Research Tree validated any of the information.

Research Tree is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures which is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Top
  • Home
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Event Hub
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest Tracker
  • Explore Content
    • Regions
      • UK
      • Rest of EMEA
      • N America
      • APAC
      • LatAm
    • Exchanges
      • Aquis Apex
      • Australian Securities Exchange
      • Canadian Securities Exchange
      • Euronext Paris
      • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
      • SIX Swiss Exchange
    • Sectors
      • Automobile Industry
      • Banks
      • Building & Construction
      • Chemicals
      • Discretionary Personal Goods
      • Discretionary Retail
      • Energy
      • ETFs
      • Financial Services
      • Food & Drink
      • Food Production
      • Health
      • Household Goods & DIY
      • Industrial Equipment, Goods & Services
      • Insurance & Reinsurance
      • Investment Trusts
      • Leisure, Tourism & Travel
      • Media
      • Open-ended Funds
      • Other
      • Real Estate
      • Resources
      • Staple Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecoms
      • Utilities
    • Small / Large Cap
      • UK100
      • UK250
      • UK Smallcap
      • UK Other Main Markets
      • Other
    • Private/EIS
      • EIS Single Company
      • EIS/SEIS Funds
      • IHT Products
      • SEIS Single Company
      • VCT Funds
  • Providers
    • Free/Commissioned
      • Acquisdata
      • Actinver
      • Actio Advisors
      • Asset TV
      • Atrium Research
      • Baden Hill
      • BlytheRay
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Bondcritic
      • Brand Communications
      • BRR Media
      • Calvine Partners
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Capital Markets Brokers
      • Cavendish
      • Checkpoint Partners
      • Clear Capital Markets
      • Couloir Capital
      • Doceo
      • Edison
      • Engage Investor
      • Equity Development
      • eResearch
      • First Equity
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • focusIR
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • goetzpartners securities Limited
      • Golden Section Capital
      • GreenSome Finance
      • GSBR Research
      • H2 Radnor
      • Hardman & Co
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hypothesis Research
      • InterAxS Global
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • London Stock Exchange
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Mello Events
      • Messari Research
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Optimo Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Paul Scott
      • Peel Hunt
      • PIWORLD (hosted by Progressive)
      • Proactive
      • Progressive Equity Research
      • Quantum Research Group
      • QuotedData
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Resolve Research
      • SEAL Advisors Ltd
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • StockBox
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Trinity Delta
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • UK Investor Group
      • ValueTrack
      • Vox Markets
      • VRS International S.A. - Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS)
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • Yaru Investments
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
    • High Net Worth Offering
      • Fox-Davies Capital
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Align Research
      • Allenby Capital
      • AlphaValue
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • Baptista Research
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Hybridan
      • Kemeny Capital
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Louis Capital
      • Magnitogorsk Iron and steel works
      • Medley Global Advisors
      • Northland Capital Partners
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Shard Capital
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel FirstEnergy
      • Stockdale Securities
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • VSA Capital
      • Whitman Howard
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zeus Capital
    • Institutional Offering
      • Fox-Davies Capital
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Acquisdata
      • Allenby Capital
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • BNP Paribas Exane
      • Bondcritic
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • Edison
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • Golden Section Capital
      • Goodbody
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hybridan
      • InterAxS Global
      • Investec Bank
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • Numis
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Peel Hunt
      • QuotedData
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Shard Capital
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel
      • StockBox
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • ValueTrack
      • Velocity Trade
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
  • Contact
  • Sign Up
  • Sign In