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27 Jun 2016
N+1 Singer - MS - Chemicals - International exposure and strong balance sheets underpin sector confidence
Victrex plc (VCT:LON), 647 | Elementis plc (ELM:LON), 168 | Synthomer plc (SYNT:LON), 62.3 | Croda International Plc (CRDA:LON), 2,715
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N+1 Singer - MS - Chemicals - International exposure and strong balance sheets underpin sector confidence
Victrex plc (VCT:LON), 647 | Elementis plc (ELM:LON), 168 | Synthomer plc (SYNT:LON), 62.3 | Croda International Plc (CRDA:LON), 2,715
- Published:
27 Jun 2016 -
Author:
Singer CM Team -
Pages:
3 -
In the wake of the EU referendum result, our view of the UK chemicals sector remains relatively upbeat. The companies we cover (Croda, Elementis, Scapa, Synthomer, Victrex, Zotefoams) generally have limited domestic exposure and plenty to gain on transactional and/or translational FX exposure. The main beneficiary of FX is Victrex, where as a rule of thumb, we would expect a 10% sterling devaluation to increase Group PBT by 10%, all else being equal. An isolated period of disruption/ contraction in the UK could therefore be comfortably managed by most. Given that some commentators are now also worried about a destabilising effect on the rest of the EU, which could trigger euro weakness, it may make sense to favour those companies with a more balanced international footprint. We therefore highlight Elementis positively, given its high percentage of US sales, but would apply more caution to Synthomer, which has the most European exposure (c.80% of profits last year). Balance sheets are robust and dividend yields high, particularly Elementis and Victrex, which have ongoing special dividend programmes.