Our Canadian drilling days forecast has been lowered in 2016e to ~79,550, from ~95,800. However, downside risk remains as we believe strip pricing would lead to activity of ~64,000 days in 2016e. In the U.S., we have reduced our rig count forecast to 971 (prior: 997) in and 988 (prior: 1,094) in 2015e and 2016e, respectively. Despite our bearish activity outlook, historical cycle analysis leads us to believe it is a good time to take positions in certain stocks that will benefit from a recovery ....

01 Sep 2015
ENERGY SERVICES - It’s Always Darkest Before the Dawn
Secure Energy Services Inc. (SES:TSE), 0 | Trinidad Drilling (TDG:TSE), 0 | CES Energy Solutions Corp (CEU:TSE), 0
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Ian B. Gillies
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17 pages
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ENERGY SERVICES - It’s Always Darkest Before the Dawn
Secure Energy Services Inc. (SES:TSE), 0 | Trinidad Drilling (TDG:TSE), 0 | CES Energy Solutions Corp (CEU:TSE), 0
- Published:
01 Sep 2015 -
Author:
Ian B. Gillies -
Pages:
17 -
Our Canadian drilling days forecast has been lowered in 2016e to ~79,550, from ~95,800. However, downside risk remains as we believe strip pricing would lead to activity of ~64,000 days in 2016e. In the U.S., we have reduced our rig count forecast to 971 (prior: 997) in and 988 (prior: 1,094) in 2015e and 2016e, respectively. Despite our bearish activity outlook, historical cycle analysis leads us to believe it is a good time to take positions in certain stocks that will benefit from a recovery ....