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ING reported a low-quality beat, overdelivering on other income, fees and cost of risk but missing on NII and costs. The NII trajectory will remain at the core of the share price sentiment going forward with the announcement of a new buyback while the management pledge to return to its 12.5% CET1 ratio target provided some limited positivity.
Companies: ING Groep NV
AlphaValue
ING posted an excellent Q2 built again on continued momentum in deposit margins, good deposit volume growth and a still-low pass-through rate. Opex was also a positive development thanks to lower regulatory costs and incidental items, while asset quality remained untouched. The management maintained all of its 2023 and 2025 financial targets. The excess capital situation continued to build up with an update due in Q3-23.
ING published excellent results with strong top line and bottom-line beats. The top line was again driven by rising deposit margins while the bottom line was further helped by contained costs inflation and a reduction in the cost of risk. The management announced a new €1.5bn buyback program which should add to the bank’s 50% dividend payout ratio and support the bank’s valuation.
This is our first report on Benelux banking behemoth, ING Groep N.V. The bank achieved satisfactory results in the fourth quarter despite the difficult climate and managed an all-around beat. ING's financial results demonstrate that growing NII momentum is a tailwind for the bank, while fee income has shown to be quite durable. Despite the indexation-related inflationary pressure in some areas and ongoing investments to implement its plan, costs remained controlled. Moreover, mortgage lending to
Companies: ING Groep NV Sponsored ADR
Baptista Research
ING realised a correct quarter, marked by a strong increase in underlying NII (excluding net negative TLTRO impact) but a beat on total income which was supported by less sustainable other income. Costs were a bad surprise due to inflation but loan losses saw a welcomed improvement from last quarter, resulting in a PBT beat. 2025 total income guidance was upgraded but 2023 C/I ratio was disappointing. No new buy-back was announced for now but we expect more in 2023.
ING published a mixed Q3, impacted by two large incidentals due to the loan moratorium in Poland and the unwinding of a hedge in Belgium. Excluding the loan moratorium impact, NII would have shown good progress thanks to higher margins. The management is confident that the NII tailwinds should be even stronger than disclosed during the investor day in June. Combined with continued distribution through a third buyback programme, this will likely lead to an upgrade in our estimates.
ING exhibited a mixed Q2 with positive surprises on both revenue and cost of risk, but a miss on costs, mostly on incidentals and regulatory costs. The capital position remained solid and the distribution of excess capital continued. 2025 targets set during the investor day (June) were maintained while the short-term outlook may be uncertain due to the current macro-environment.
ING held its Investor Day this Monday, the first one since the pandemic began. The financial targets unveiled were, for the most part, a confirmation of the previous long-term financial ambitions: 5-10% annual fee income growth, a 50-52% C/I ratio and a 12.5% CET1 ratio by 2025. Still, the group upgraded its profitability target, aiming for 12% RoE (vs 10-12%), made possible in part through higher NII, as indicated by the new 3% total income CAGR between 2022 and 2025.
ING realised a mixed Q1 as earnings were hit by provisions made in relation to its Russian exposure, to which net exposure declined to €4.6bn. Total income also saw a slight decline as the group’s NII suffered from a lower TLTRO impact as well as an impairment on its stake in its Thai subsidiary. The distribution policy in response to the excess capital situation looks undisturbed by the group’s heightened cost of risk, as an additional €1.25bn will be distributed through dividends and buy-backs
ING Group presented its Q4 21 earnings today. The results showed considerable growth in revenue thanks to a jump in net commission income. NII contributed only a bit despite growing volumes, with a one-off reclassification deteriorating the net interest margin. Expenses displayed slow growth but were still higher than expected and LLPs increased unexpectedly due to scenario updates. The excess capital situation strengthened as capitalisation improved. Long-term financial targets were maintained.
ING Group released yesterday its numbers for Q3 21. Net income was above expectations driven by a strong beat at the top line. The latter was driven by all businesses (including net interest income). The CET1 ratio at 15.8% was well above requirements (in line with the consensus) as management does not expect a material increase in RWA (Basel IV implementation) from here. We will revise upwards our EPS for ING Group but keep our Sell/Reduce recommendation (we prefer ABN Amro).
ING Group released this morning its numbers for Q2 21. The numbers were mostly in line with expectations, except for loan losses which were well below expectations. This was, however, expected given the recent publications from other global banks. Our expectations being below consensus’ forecasts, we will revise upwards our EPSs for 2021 and 2022. The CET1 ratio is at 15.7% and 15.4% under Basel IV. Management has a 12.5% CET1 ratio target and will pay therefore some dividends/SBB at the end of
ING Group released this morning its numbers for Q1 21. Net profit was 31% above expectations, driven by lower loan losses (expected) and higher net interest income (only driven by a higher contribution from TLTRO). The underlying numbers were rather below expectations even if the investment case remains intact with a high amount of capital to be paid back to shareholders in the next quarters as well as a decreasing cost/income ratio.
ING Group released this morning its numbers for Q4 20. These were better across-the-board. Net interest income (under pressure at ABN Amro or KBC) was above expectations, while the generous capital distribution policy (2019, 2020 and interim 2021 dividends expected to be paid at the end of 2021) supported by a high level of capital should support the share. A normalisation of the cost of risk in 2021 at 25bp (vs consensus at 40bp) should be supportive as well.
Research Tree provides access to ongoing research coverage, media content and regulatory news on ING Groep NV. We currently have 0 research reports from 6 professional analysts.
Companies: KMK BGEO CORA
Cavendish
Companies: NewRiver REIT plc
Shore Capital
Avation, a lessor of 34 commercial aircraft, provided a trading update on Friday for the year to date, reporting a significant expected increase in the value of its ATR 72 purchase rights, along with an improvement in lease revenues and cash collections. Following the announcement of a restructured aircraft purchasing plan with ATR earlier this month, the company has reported that the grant of new aircraft purchase rights and the extension of the existing rights is expected to increase the value
Companies: Avation PLC
WHIreland
AUM was up by £2.2bn or 6% over H1-24, reaching £39.6bn on 31 Mar 24 (30 Sep 23: £37.4bn). This was a top-third growth rate among a London-listed peer group. While sustainable investing flows around the world have been subdued, we are seeing some early signs of a return to stronger flows. H1-24 revenue of £86.2m was down 2% y-o-y from £88.0m in H1-23 on lower average AUM levels and an unchanged average fee margin of 45bps. However, an AUM recovery during the period saw run-rate revenue increase
Companies: Impax Asset Management Group plc
Equity Development
TRIG’s portfolio continues to evolve, despite equity capital markets being closed…
Companies: Renewables Infrastructure Group Limited GBP Red.Shs
Kepler | Trust Intelligence
Headline Q1 net profit of GEL1.04bn included negative goodwill of GEL686m arising from the Ameriabank acquisition. Adjusted profit of GEL369m was a touch light of our estimate, but on lower other income, while costs came in higher on increased investment spend. However, the Group net interest margin increased slightly on 4Q23, unchanged also on the prior year, and better than expected, against a backdrop of faster cuts in interest rates by the National Bank of Georgia this year. Economic growth
Companies: Bank of Georgia Group Plc
The focus of Hardman & Co Research is on the nine quoted Infrastructure Investment Companies (IICs) and on the 22 Renewable Energy Infrastructure Funds (REIFs): the stocks analysed are all members of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC). We are updating our publication of January 2023, assessing both the lacklustre share price performances during 2023 and the key issues, including interest rates, inflation and power prices. As a 31-strong group, its combined market capitalisation is no
Companies: AEIT ROOF DGI9 INPP GSF SEIT USFP HICL ORIT BSIF TRIG NESF SEQI HEIT GRP GCP FSFL 3IN AERI PINT RNEW BBGI GSEO DORE TENT GRID CORD HGEN AEET
Hardman & Co
UK commercial property has been a cornerstone asset for many income-seeking investors (both retail and institutional) in recent decades, particularly since the global financial crisis of 2007/8 and the resulting ultra-low interest rate environment. However, since rates began to rise in 2022 to tackle surging inflation, meaningful returns have once more become available on lower-risk assets such as cash and government bonds, which has led to a retrenchment from alternative income assets such as p
Companies: LABS SREI SUPR AEWU
Capital Access Group
The Bankers Investment Trust (BNKR) focuses on cash-generating companies and FY23 (ended 31 October 2023) was its 57th consecutive year of dividend growth. Dividends rose by 10%, maintaining the trust’s track record of above inflation dividend growth over the long term. The board expects dividends to rise by at least 5% in FY24. While this is commendable, BNKR’s recent relative total return performance has been adversely affected by its lack of exposure to most of the so-called Magnificent Seven
Companies: Bankers Investment Trust PLC GBP
Edison
Canaccord Genuity
NBPE’s realisation activity shows its portfolio is ‘in demand’…
Companies: NB Private Equity Partners Limited Class A
Tern’s FY23 results highlight improving metrics that should attract additional strategic interest across the portfolio. All companies are gaining significant commercial traction, with configuration work turning to repeat licencing through SaaS models and growing high-profile customer bases. However, valuations across the global technology landscape remain depressed, which has flowed through to Device Authority and Wyld, as detailed overleaf. Therefore, despite the significant improvement in perf
Companies: Tern PLC
Progressive Equity Research
In this note we look at the gap between perception and reality in the UK equity market, the opportunities and threats in the economic and market outlook, and the emerging consensus that the valuation discount versus other major markets is at or close to an inflection point. We consider the benefits of UK equity strategies both for income investors and for those seeking exposure to the higher growth potential of smaller and mid-cap companies.
Companies: ATS MRCH SCP SHRS LWDB JUGI MINI
AJB’s CEO, Michael Summersgill, said on the results call that some of the recent price changes were perhaps “unnecessary” and maybe “a little bit aggressive” at the time. That is because AJ Bell is a proper growth company, taking share in two big markets. We believe the nub of the investment story is that the market has a tough time estimating the growth acceleration that should come from such aggressive pricing. We now see the company close to fair value, but the market-share-taking trend may b
Companies: AJ Bell Plc
Hannam & Partners
For Q124, Regional REIT (RGL) has maintained the rate of quarterly DPS at 1.2p. We expect DPS for the year will partly depend on RGL’s chosen re-financing route. Meanwhile, RGL’s asset disposal programme continues to progress. Portfolio EPC ratings have continued to show good improvement and, adjusted for disposals, rent roll and occupancy were robust. We have made no changes to our forecasts.
Companies: Regional REIT Ltd.
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