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Reasonably attractive risk-reward
We are lifting our 12m TP by 14% to 1030p to reflect upgrades post recent interims and stay at Buy. Our positive stance is purely a valuation call as the FY17 spot multiples are attractive given a 3 year EPS CAGR of 10% and a c.4% yield. Our concerns about the Spirit deal furthering GNK’s exposure to wet sales and earnings growth largely being synergy driven have not eased. But we acknowledge the Group’s strong track record, enhanced FCF and an attractive pub estate.