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28 Jul 2022
First Take: Diageo - FY22 an exceptional year
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First Take: Diageo - FY22 an exceptional year
Diageo plc (DGE:LON) | 1,798 -440.5 (-1.3%) | Mkt Cap: 40,031m
- Published:
28 Jul 2022 -
Author:
Alicia Forry, CFA -
Pages:
4 -
FY22 finishes strongly
FY22 organic revenue +21.4% (consensus +17.5%) is comfortably ahead of expectations. Organic volumes were +10.3% (consensus +8.5%), with price/mix +11.1%. All regions beat their respective consensus organic revenue growth expectations and all regions grew organic revenue by double digits as markets recovered.
In the important North America division, volumes were +3% with organic sales +14%, and the organic operating margin was -295bps as Diageo invested strongly behind its brands and price increases only partially offset inflation.
Organic EBIT growth +26.3% (consensus +22.1%) is also a solid beat.
At the bottom-line, adj EPS of 151.9p (consensus 142.8p) is a 6% beat.
Medium-term outlook reiterated, in-line with consensus
The outlook expects a “challenging” environment” but reiterates the medium term outlook of 5-7% organic revenue growth and 6-9% organic EBIT growth over FY23-FY25. For FY23, consensus models +6.3% organic revenue and +7.1% organic EBIT growth.
North America, Asia Pacific, Africa and LatAm & Caribbean are expected to continue growing the top-line in FY23, but Europe is expected to decline after the strong 30% growth in FY22.
The organic operating margin is expected to expand due to ongoing premiumisation and operating leverage.
Management hosts a conference call at 9:30am BST. A pre-recorded presentation is available on the company website ahead of this.