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Another challenging quarter for OMV due to softening chemicals margins and the natural decline in oil and gas fields. Adjusted operating profit missed the consensus estimates by 10% while net profit came in 34% short. Despite slightly better contributions from the Borealis JVs, chemicals still posted losses. The outlook for the remainder of the year does not look that promising due to declining oil prices on the back of the higher supply, decreasing refining margins and the struggling chemicals
Companies: OMV AG (OMV:WBO)OMV (OMV:VIE)
ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Rig-up at Anshof-2 – The rig-up at Anshof-2 has commenced with an expected spud date of 11 November. XST (20% WI in Anshof) will not participate in the well. ADX and MND will fund XST’s share of well costs on 50:50 basis and will in turn retain the right to 60% and 40% respectively of production from the well unless XST opts to buy back into the well at a premium of 400% to the we
Companies: PEN EQNR TCFF ALV OMV ADX MAHAA OMV ALV FEC FORZ PXT RHC RHC DNO I3E UOG TETY KOS CNE PEN SNM EQNR TETY DNO EGY
ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: On Track to start drilling in early November - 3Q23 production of 324 boe/d and cash of A$5.7 mm at the end of September were near our expectations. This includes 101 bbl/d gross production for Anshof that was shut-in on 19 September after reaching the regulatory limit for test production. Until that date the Anshof-3 well produced at a stable rate of 114 bbl/d, which is above the
Companies: TCFF XOM CVX OMV ADX CE1 IVZ OMV SOU BP/ CASP ZPHR SDX CHAR SEPL XOM GTE CVX
Pulsar Helium (PLSR CN)C; target price of C$0.90 per share: Additional acreage should increase the size of the prize – Pulsar has signed a lease with a private mineral rights holder to expand the area of the company’s Topaz helium project. The additional mineral rights are within a 6.2 mile radius of the Topaz discovery and cover a total of
2,840 gross acres (1,049 net acres). This represents ~100% increase to the existing 1,040 net
Companies: OMV BLOK OMV JSE RHC RHC KOS SLE CNE VLE
Adjusted operating income missed the consensus by 7% and was down by 60% yoy, driven by lower-than-expected results in the Chemicals business. Cash flow from operations was weak but positive after a €600m working capital release but was still down 50% yoy and 92% qoq. No details were forthcoming concerning the Borouge/Boreais merger with ADNOC. Oil prices above $80/bbl will be supportive, Q3 product spreads could result in higher refining but the chemicals outlook does not look that supportive.
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: CN-2 flows at up to 1 mbbl/d. Focusing on developping the Ubaque at Carrizales Norte - The Carrizales Norte-2 well (CN-2) encountered 60’ of net pay in the Ubaque formation. The well has been put on production in the Ubaque with initial flow rates of 1,012 barrels of fluid per day. The water cut stabilized at 3% and the oil gravity is 13.6 API. The CN-2 well is currently
Companies: EQNR ENI OMV REP OMV AXL FORZ REP DELT NOG SDX BWE TTE ENI SEPLAT EQNR
ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Securing additional loan to prepare for drilling – ADX is issuing A$1.5 mm of loan notes with a term of 18 months. A$1.0 mm of the loan notes carry an interest rate of 8% per annum with 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.01 per share and 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.014 per share. The balance of the loan notes carry an interest rate of 12% per annum with 2
Companies: OKEA OMV ADX AKRBP MAHAA OMV AOI DNO PNOR TLW DELT TRIN ZPHR IOG CHAR MATD PRD PNOR GTE VLE DNO OKEA
If they materialise, the talks between OMV and ADNOC concerning the merger of Borealis and Borouge could create a $30bn chemicals giant and pave the way for further growth based on both market expansion and product diversification. OMV could own around c.38% of the new entity with a value of around €12.7bn. Furthermore, the merged entity will reinforce the integration and simplification of operations and could also allow for further growth in the petrochemicals sector with acquisitions and asset
Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua). With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (U
Companies: PEN EQNR OMV GKP MAHAA OMV FEC CEQ MAU MAU CASP PHAR TRIN SOU IOG SDX STAR TETY PTR SLE TTE PEN EQNR TETY VLE
OMV posted above-consensus results with an adjusted EBIT of €2.1bn (-10% qoq), supported by the refining and core energy business while chemicals continued its lower performance due to weak margins and declining demand. The operating cash flow excl. working capital was strong at €2bn, facilitating further deleveraging. With gearing at 2%, OMV enjoys a healthy balance sheet that will enable a maintained competitive dividend and the company to capitalize on a potential acquisition.
ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 update – 1Q23 production in Austria was 299 boe/d. The company held A$3.41 mm in cash at the end of March.
Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C: On track for near term acquisition – The FY22 financials were in line with our expectations. The company held C$3.7 mm in cash at YE22. Criterium has also filed the notice of intention to file a short form prospectus. This could be an indica
Companies: PEN ENI OKEA HES OMV ADX HHR REP AKRBP GKP OMV JSE CEQ TAL CNE TXP REP TLW EOG HBR CNE TRIN RBD UKOG NOG SDX UOG CEG SEPL TTE PEN HES ENI OKEA
ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate. While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA ran
Companies: PEN OMV ADX WDS BLOK AKRBP OMV COPL PXT SOU DNO HUR DELT TRIN ECHO SAVE STAR PEN VLE DNO KIST
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN)C: Target price of £0.45 per share: Reaching 2,635 bbl/d without Capella. High cash position – The RCE-5 well flowed 680 bbl/d (340 bbl/d net to Arrow) of oil over the last 24 hours. The well is heavily choked (17/168) and is still unloading completion fluid (12% water cut). As witnessed at the other RCE wells, production is expected to increase as the well stabilizes. Initial production at RCE-5 is above expe
Companies: PEN GPRK OMV REP AKRBP OMV AXL JSE PNOR REP SQZ TRIN ZPHR SAVE TETY GPRK PNOR TTE PEN TETY
Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN) C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: Good well results in Colombia – The RCE-3 well flowed naturally at rates equivalent to 2,000 bbl/d gross for four hours after unloading kill fluid. Over the last 24 hours, the well has produced at a rate of 968 bbl/d with 0% water cut. This is a very good result and compares with expectations of 600-800 bbl/d. The fact there is no water being produced at that the well i
Companies: EQNR ALV OMV CE1 WDS ORC.B AKRBP MAHAA OMV AOI ALV AXL FEC JSE TXP CNE AKERBP BOIL CNE I3E SDX LBE KOS AEX BWE TTE CNE SEPLAT EQNR ORC/B
Softening market environment, inventory effects, and operational issues hamstrung the operating results in the chemicals business, dropping 73% in Q4 FY2022 on a quarterly basis. The record annual profits and operating cash flow, however, enabled OMV to announce a record high dividend in the company’s history to maintain investor confidence and benefit from the all-time-high results. After a turbulent year, FY2023 should stage another similar show across businesses.
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Last week we attended a site visit to i3’s assets in central Alberta in Canada – the company’s largest producing area. We were left with a favourable impression of the magnitude of the company’s operations in the region, of the professional operational running of these, and of the overall level of opportunity in this well-established oil and gas province.
Companies: i3 Energy Plc
Good news for Reabold, which is set to receive £5.2m of the second tranche payment from Shell imminently for the Victory gas field it acquired last year. The final £4.4m payment is due once the development approval for the field is received from the NSTA in the coming months. These funds will allow RBD to progress its two onshore gas developments in the UK and Italy and consider further distributions to shareholders. Partner funding of these projects remains an issue, but RBD’s risk/reward profi
Companies: Reabold Resources plc
88 Energy, Falcon Oil & Gas, Trinity Exploration & Production, Plexus Holdings, Baron Oil, Harbour Energy, EnQuest, Capricorn Energy, Arrow Exploration, Southern Energy, Serinus Energy, SDX Energy, Panoro Energy, Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas, OKEA ASA, Equinor Source: FactSet, weekly change 27/11/23-1/12/23 Oil extended declines, closing out a sixth straight weekly drop, as the OPEC+ output cuts announced Thursday failed to dispel the market’s gloom over swelling global supplies. West Texas Intermed
Companies: BOIL POS TRIN 88E
On 22 November, Pan African Resources (PAF) announced that operations to date in FY24 had performed in line with, or better than, expected, with gold production for H124 anticipated to be in the range 94,000–98,000oz (cf 92,307oz in H123). As a result, it increased its production guidance for FY24 to 180,000–190,000oz, which caused us to increase our production estimate in turn by 1.9% (or 3,575oz) to 189,725oz. The change made only a modest difference to our EPS forecasts for FY24 (see Exhibit
Companies: Pan African Resources PLC
Cameroon: Ready for the Rig
Companies: Tower Resources plc
Companies: HHR CLBS SND
We have been roadshowing Trident Royalties all week during which time the company released an announcement that they have entered into a commitment letter with BMO and CIBC for a new $40m revolving credit facility (RCF), with the potential to increase the facility to $60m via an accordion feature. The proceeds from the $40m are going to be used to repay the existing secured debt facility of $40m with Macquire in Q1 next year.
Companies: Trident Royalties Plc
Hartshead has secured a funding solution with partner Rockrose Energy to fund 100% of the Phase I development costs. Under the agreement, Hartshead has the option to exchange an additional 20% licence interest for an uncapped free carry, thereby covering the total cost of the Phase I development project (financing backstop). Importantly, Hartshead maintains at its election the option not to proceed with the RockRose financing solution, and introduce other financing solutions (eg project debt, pr
Companies: Hartshead Resources NL
Companies: EVN AYM SOLG SAV CNR RBW ATM GSCU CGH
Companies: PNRL AYM RIO THR WSBN GMET TGR
Southern Energy delivered solid 3Q results with the focus of attention now turned towards the completion of 4 drilled uncompleted wells (“DUCs”). We see our investment thesis for Southern Energy – premised on the scale, location, quality, deliverability, low-cost nature of the company's Gwinville gas field in Mississippi, USA – very much strengthening based on our structural commodity price outlook and our growing confidence in the highly prolific Gwinville gas field, sharpening our interest in
Companies: Southern Energy Corp.
The front of this note takes a look at the UK oil and gas sector, why domestic production is advantageous, what the main political parties think, and what could happen going forward. The latter part contains a review of the companies in our coverage – some that are UK centric, which give exposure to the note’s wider theme, and others that are focused elsewhere.
Companies: TLOU PTAL HTG ENW ITM BLVN RKH HBR UJO GMS JOG MATD CEG GENL AXL
Baron has been granted a further six-month extension to the Chuditch PSC. The end of Contract Year Two will now be 18 June 2024, at which time Baron will need to make a decision on entering Year Three. In the Third and final phase of the PSC, a final investment decision (FID) will be required on an appraisal well targeting the Chuditch discovery (Chuditch-2). Baron continues to make good progress in its discussions with potential funding partners, having previously announced that it is in “advan
Companies: Baron Oil Plc
Jersey Oil & Gas, Serica Energy, Trinity Exploration & Production, Longboat Energy, Ithaca Energy, Neptune Energy, Pantheon Resources, Nostrum Oil & Gas, Kufpec, ORLEN.
Companies: TRIN LBE JOG
Companies: GAL RIO AAU POW BMN GEM EMPR