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24 Nov 2020
Tristel Plc : An innovator in disinfection - Buy

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Tristel Plc : An innovator in disinfection - Buy
Tristel Plc (TSTL:LON) | 365 -18.3 (-1.4%) | Mkt Cap: 174.2m
- Published:
24 Nov 2020 -
Author:
Dr Jens Lindqvist -
Pages:
30 -
A market-leading innovator: Tristel is a leading developer of products for high-level disinfection of ultrasound probes and other semi-critical devices, with a growing presence in the hospital surface disinfection market. The company has a strong innovation ethos, leveraging its proven and validated chlorine dioxide chemistry expertise and product development know-how.
Outperforming in device decontamination: In spite of lower medical procedure volumes during the Covid pandemic, direct sales of medical device decontamination products grew by 17% in FY20, driven mainly by EU demand. We expect Tristel to benefit as procedure volumes normalise over FY21-22e.
Sustainable growth in surface disinfection: Many of the more rigorous decontamination procedures implemented in response to Covid are likely to be maintained over the longer term, supporting the take-up of Tristel’s new Cache range of user-friendly products for high-level surface disinfection.
High and sustainable returns: Tristel is generating consistently high returns (FY15-20 CAGR in revenue, EPS and regular DPS of 16%, 17% and 15%, respectively). We believe the attractive return profile (ROCE >20%) is sustainable over the forecast period, improving further post US launch of Cache (FY22e) and Tristel Duo (FY23e).
A “hidden gem” in the disinfection space: Our DCF-based valuation (7% discount rate, 1% TGR) implies a target price of 644p. In spite of high returns, Tristel is under-owned by mainstream investors – we initiate with a Buy.