Phase 2a rheumatoid arthris ("RA") data not only achieved the primary endpoint of safety and tolerability, but also stascally significant improvement in the ACR20 and encouraging signals in other RA disease measures; despite being insufficiently powered. 60 paents with inadequate response to methotrexate and or TNFα inhibitors were included in the trial. Adverse events ("AE") were mild and dose dependent. While there were some AE-related paent drop out, recent data in ulcerave colis ("UC") indicates that the drug maintains maximal an-inflammatory efficacy at lower doses where AEs start to disappear. This provides a strong basis to move into Phase 2b planned beginning 2022E. Combined with the recent UC Phase 2b these data suggest ABX464 could provide substanal benefit across a broad range of inflammatory diseases. Safe, effecve and conveniently orally delivered, the drug looks well posioned to take a significantshare of an $90bn an-inflammatory market populated by drugs of quesonable safety, poor convenience and frequently lacking sustained efficacy. Abivax now looks well-placed to achieve the transformave and much ancipated licensing or MA deal. While cash is only sufficient unl Q4/2021E, raising necessary interim finance should not pose a significant problem. Increasing the ABX464 RA success probability to 50% from 30%, we reiterate our OUTPERFORM recommendaon and increase our target price to €71 (from €54).

23 Jun 2021
RA Phase 2a opens door to $90bn market

Sign up for free to access
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
RA Phase 2a opens door to $90bn market
Abivax SA (0RA9:LON) | 0 0 0.5% | Mkt Cap: 83.0m
- Published:
23 Jun 2021 -
Author:
Chris Redhead -
Pages:
5 -
Phase 2a rheumatoid arthris ("RA") data not only achieved the primary endpoint of safety and tolerability, but also stascally significant improvement in the ACR20 and encouraging signals in other RA disease measures; despite being insufficiently powered. 60 paents with inadequate response to methotrexate and or TNFα inhibitors were included in the trial. Adverse events ("AE") were mild and dose dependent. While there were some AE-related paent drop out, recent data in ulcerave colis ("UC") indicates that the drug maintains maximal an-inflammatory efficacy at lower doses where AEs start to disappear. This provides a strong basis to move into Phase 2b planned beginning 2022E. Combined with the recent UC Phase 2b these data suggest ABX464 could provide substanal benefit across a broad range of inflammatory diseases. Safe, effecve and conveniently orally delivered, the drug looks well posioned to take a significantshare of an $90bn an-inflammatory market populated by drugs of quesonable safety, poor convenience and frequently lacking sustained efficacy. Abivax now looks well-placed to achieve the transformave and much ancipated licensing or MA deal. While cash is only sufficient unl Q4/2021E, raising necessary interim finance should not pose a significant problem. Increasing the ABX464 RA success probability to 50% from 30%, we reiterate our OUTPERFORM recommendaon and increase our target price to €71 (from €54).