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  • 15 Jan 2026

4Q:25 Sales Reflect Grill Concept Closings, Adverse Calendar Shift; We Are Encouraged By Sequential Same-Store Sales Improvements; Still Expect Earnings In 2027; Maintain $6 Target


ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY INC TH (STKS:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Sidoti & Company
    • Anthony C. Lebiedzinski

    • 10 pages


 

The ONE Group Hospitality preannounced 4Q:25 revenue of about $207 million, a 6.8% decline from 4Q:24, mainly due to closings of underperforming Grill Concept restaurants (Kona Grill and RA Sushi) and an adverse fiscal calendar shift; we expected 4Q:25 sales of $223.1 million. Given the revenue shortfall versus our projection, we now estimate December quarter EPS of $0.04 (was $0.16). On a brighter note, we still expect STKS to benefit from several initiatives, including planned asset-light expansion in the San Francisco market and professional sports arenas, further leveraging its loyalty program and converting up to nine Kona Grill and RA Sushi locations to Benihana or STK restaurants. All told, we now estimate a net loss of $0.56 per share in 2026 (previously we expected a loss of $0.43 per share in 2026) before estimated EPS of $0.28 in 2027. Our moderate risk rating reflects our expectation for improved earnings and a return to positive free cash flow in 2026–2027, with free cash flow projected at $0.71 per share in 2026 and $1.15 per share in 2027.

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4Q:25 Sales Reflect Grill Concept Closings, Adverse Calendar Shift; We Are Encouraged By Sequential Same-Store Sales Improvements; Still Expect Earnings In 2027; Maintain $6 Target


ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY INC TH (STKS:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 15 Jan 2026
  • Author: Anthony C. Lebiedzinski
  • Pages: 10
  • Sidoti & Company


The ONE Group Hospitality preannounced 4Q:25 revenue of about $207 million, a 6.8% decline from 4Q:24, mainly due to closings of underperforming Grill Concept restaurants (Kona Grill and RA Sushi) and an adverse fiscal calendar shift; we expected 4Q:25 sales of $223.1 million. Given the revenue shortfall versus our projection, we now estimate December quarter EPS of $0.04 (was $0.16). On a brighter note, we still expect STKS to benefit from several initiatives, including planned asset-light expansion in the San Francisco market and professional sports arenas, further leveraging its loyalty program and converting up to nine Kona Grill and RA Sushi locations to Benihana or STK restaurants. All told, we now estimate a net loss of $0.56 per share in 2026 (previously we expected a loss of $0.43 per share in 2026) before estimated EPS of $0.28 in 2027. Our moderate risk rating reflects our expectation for improved earnings and a return to positive free cash flow in 2026–2027, with free cash flow projected at $0.71 per share in 2026 and $1.15 per share in 2027.

More Content

More Content

2026 Outlook: Expect Improved Results As STKS Focuses On Driving Traffic Higher, Reducing Capex, Optimizing Its Restaurant Portfolio And Repaying Debt; Maintain $6 Price Target

Companies: ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY INC TH

Sidoti & Company

Hybridan Small Cap Feast: 14 January 2026

Companies: PROC XAR MUL DPP WINK MIRI JOG CRTA ALK FRG

Hybridan

3Q:25 Was A Tough Quarter; We Expect Better Results In 4Q:25-2027, As Same-Store Sales Trends Improve And STKS Further Optimizes Its Operations; Maintain $6 Price Target

Companies: ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY INC TH

Sidoti & Company

PANMURE LIBERUM: DP Poland: Outstanding growth delivered; Strong BUY

Companies: DP Poland PLC

Panmure Liberum

3Q:25 Likely Saw Lower Same-Store Sales; Updated Estimates Still Imply Year Over Year Improvements In 4Q:25-2027; Maintain $6 Price Target

Companies: ONE GROUP HOSPITALITY INC TH

Sidoti & Company
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