Hawkins is entering the second half of F2026 with strong operating momentum, led by continued outperformance in Water Treatment, which remains the company's primary growth engine and strategic focus following a series of targeted acquisitions this year.
We estimate F2026 sales of $1.085B, up 11.3% year over year, driven by 18.9% growth in Water Treatment to $530.8M, reflecting both organic demand and a full-year contribution from recent acquisitions, including WaterSurplus.
Food & Health Sciences sales are projected to increase 0.7% in F2026 to $324.8M, reflecting competitive pressures and tougher comparisons. Industrial Solutions sales are expected to grow 11.7% to $229.3M, driven by volume growth across manufactured, blended, and repackaged products.
Gross profit is projected to increase to $255.4M in F2026, reflecting a 23.5% margin and a 40 basis points (bps) improvement from the prior year period, driven by mix improvement toward higher-margin Water Treatment offerings.
Adjusted free cash flow is projected at $76.1M in F2026, or $3.65 per share, supporting ongoing balance sheet flexibility, disciplined capital allocation, and continued shareholder returns.
In F2027, we project sales of $1.16B, up 6.9% year over year, with Water Treatment sales increasing 8.3% to $575.1M as the WaterSurplus acquisition becomes fully accretive and cross-selling opportunities expand.
We maintain our $184 price target on HWKN shares based on an intact 36x multiple to our 2027 EPS estimate of $5.10. We justify this higher multiple relative to the company's five-year average of 20x based on Hawkins' strategy to continue investing in its higher-margin Water Treatment segment, which now represents approximately 54% of total company sales. Our moderate risk rating reflects Hawkins' critical products and services, historical and projected earnings expansion, solid balance sheet, and track record of dividends.
18 Dec 2025
F2026-F2027 Outlook: Water Treatment-Led Growth, Strategic Execution, And A Strong Financial Position Support Strong Results Into F2027; Maintain $184 Price Target
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F2026-F2027 Outlook: Water Treatment-Led Growth, Strategic Execution, And A Strong Financial Position Support Strong Results Into F2027; Maintain $184 Price Target
Hawkins is entering the second half of F2026 with strong operating momentum, led by continued outperformance in Water Treatment, which remains the company's primary growth engine and strategic focus following a series of targeted acquisitions this year.
We estimate F2026 sales of $1.085B, up 11.3% year over year, driven by 18.9% growth in Water Treatment to $530.8M, reflecting both organic demand and a full-year contribution from recent acquisitions, including WaterSurplus.
Food & Health Sciences sales are projected to increase 0.7% in F2026 to $324.8M, reflecting competitive pressures and tougher comparisons. Industrial Solutions sales are expected to grow 11.7% to $229.3M, driven by volume growth across manufactured, blended, and repackaged products.
Gross profit is projected to increase to $255.4M in F2026, reflecting a 23.5% margin and a 40 basis points (bps) improvement from the prior year period, driven by mix improvement toward higher-margin Water Treatment offerings.
Adjusted free cash flow is projected at $76.1M in F2026, or $3.65 per share, supporting ongoing balance sheet flexibility, disciplined capital allocation, and continued shareholder returns.
In F2027, we project sales of $1.16B, up 6.9% year over year, with Water Treatment sales increasing 8.3% to $575.1M as the WaterSurplus acquisition becomes fully accretive and cross-selling opportunities expand.
We maintain our $184 price target on HWKN shares based on an intact 36x multiple to our 2027 EPS estimate of $5.10. We justify this higher multiple relative to the company's five-year average of 20x based on Hawkins' strategy to continue investing in its higher-margin Water Treatment segment, which now represents approximately 54% of total company sales. Our moderate risk rating reflects Hawkins' critical products and services, historical and projected earnings expansion, solid balance sheet, and track record of dividends.