We are reiterating our Buy rating, $23 price target, and projections for Guess? as we look at key trends for 2HFY26 and beyond. GES, trading at 7.2X our FY26 EPS, has remained fully in "show me" mode with investors since the rag and bone acquisition (April 2024) and weakness in Guess? domestic retail operations necessitated a material ramp in S,G&A and marketing expenses in 2HFY25; when added to tariff worries, and slowing results in the company's European stores, we understand the GES lethargy with investors. That said, we believe there are signs of a turn, which will be amplified by weakness in the US Dollar and when the impact from increased marketing takes hold and drives the top line. As such, we reiterate our Buy rating and $23 price target for GES as we look for signs of returning momentum in 2HFY26.

08 Jul 2025
GES: 2H Signposts: Reproving the Model; Reiterate Buy, $23 PT
TJX Companies (TJX:NYSE), 0 | TJX Companies Inc (TJX:NYS), 0 | ROSS STORES (ROST:NYSE), 0 | Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST:NAS), 0 | Tapestry Inc (TPR:NYSE), 0 | Tapestry, Inc. (TPR:NYS), 0 | American Eagle Outfitters (AEO:NYSE), 0 | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO:NYS), 0 | LULULEMON ATHLETICA (LULU:NYSE), 0 | lululemon athletica inc. (LULU:NAS), 0 | PVH (PVH:NYSE), 0 | PVH Corp. (PVH:NYS), 0 | URBAN OUTFITTERS (URBN:NYSE), 0 | Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN:NAS), 0 | Guess? (GES:NYSE), 0 | Guess?, Inc. (GES:NYS), 0

Sign up for free to access
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
GES: 2H Signposts: Reproving the Model; Reiterate Buy, $23 PT
TJX Companies (TJX:NYSE), 0 | TJX Companies Inc (TJX:NYS), 0 | ROSS STORES (ROST:NYSE), 0 | Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST:NAS), 0 | Tapestry Inc (TPR:NYSE), 0 | Tapestry, Inc. (TPR:NYS), 0 | American Eagle Outfitters (AEO:NYSE), 0 | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO:NYS), 0 | LULULEMON ATHLETICA (LULU:NYSE), 0 | lululemon athletica inc. (LULU:NAS), 0 | PVH (PVH:NYSE), 0 | PVH Corp. (PVH:NYS), 0 | URBAN OUTFITTERS (URBN:NYSE), 0 | Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN:NAS), 0 | Guess? (GES:NYSE), 0 | Guess?, Inc. (GES:NYS), 0
- Published:
08 Jul 2025 -
Author:
Eric Beder -
Pages:
4 -
We are reiterating our Buy rating, $23 price target, and projections for Guess? as we look at key trends for 2HFY26 and beyond. GES, trading at 7.2X our FY26 EPS, has remained fully in "show me" mode with investors since the rag and bone acquisition (April 2024) and weakness in Guess? domestic retail operations necessitated a material ramp in S,G&A and marketing expenses in 2HFY25; when added to tariff worries, and slowing results in the company's European stores, we understand the GES lethargy with investors. That said, we believe there are signs of a turn, which will be amplified by weakness in the US Dollar and when the impact from increased marketing takes hold and drives the top line. As such, we reiterate our Buy rating and $23 price target for GES as we look for signs of returning momentum in 2HFY26.