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  • 09 Feb 2026

We View ACA As Well Positioned To Monetize Gains From Industrywide Power Constraints; Trim 2026-2027 Estimates On Wind Tower Timing Risk; Lower Price Target To $131 (From $134)


Arcosa Inc (ACA:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Sidoti & Company
    • Julio Romero

    • 11 pages


 

Today, we examine AI infrastructure through the physical and digital layers required to deploy AI at scale, and discuss stocks poised to benefit from this phase of the AI supercycle (see our industry note titled (The AI Infrastructure Cycle: Constraints, Complexity and Value Creation Beyond Computing). Across record capex spending and operating earnings on AI infrastructure companies, we favor stocks of companies well positioned to monetize further gains from labor, power, and reliability constraints. We believe Arcosa, a growth oriented conglomerate focused on infrastructure related products and services, is favorably situated to benefit from increasing AI infrastructure demand. Arcosa's most direct benefit from data centers stems from the opportunity to ease power constraints, particularly for ACA's utility & related structures unit (28% of sales through the first nine months of 2025). Utility & related structures includes (1) utility, transmission and distribution poles, (2) traffic structures (3) lighting poles, and (4) telecom structures. In addition to AI infrastructure construction, we think grid hardening initiatives, including increased electrification and connecting renewables to the grid, also benefit Arcosa. Accelerating demand for ACA's utility & related structures products led to ACA's in-process conversion of a previously idled wind tower manufacturing facility to one that produces large utility poles, with production beginning in 2H:26. We fine-tune our 2026-2027 estimates, as we foresee timing risk in ACA's wind tower business potentially pushing out volumes scheduled for 2026 into 2027. GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV, NC) on January 28 cited softness in U.S. onshore wind orders, and guided to 2026 organic wind revenue (encompassing onshore and offshore wind) of down low double digits. Partially offsetting this, we also lowered our interest expense forecast, assuming greater debt reduction through 2027. All in, we now project 2026 EPS of $4.67 (from $4.77) and 2027 EPS of $5.33 (from $5.40). ACA's net debt stood at $1.4 billion at 3Q:25, for a total debt ratio of 38% and leverage ratio of 2.4x. We model net debt of $869 million (30%, 1.3x) at year-end 2027. ACA's solid balance sheet and record of strong cash flow generation support our moderate risk rating. Our reduced $131 price target (from $134) is based on 28x our reduced 2026 EPS estimate of $4.67 (was $4.77).

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See all the research we have on this company.

We View ACA As Well Positioned To Monetize Gains From Industrywide Power Constraints; Trim 2026-2027 Estimates On Wind Tower Timing Risk; Lower Price Target To $131 (From $134)


Arcosa Inc (ACA:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 09 Feb 2026
  • Author: Julio Romero
  • Pages: 11
  • Sidoti & Company


Today, we examine AI infrastructure through the physical and digital layers required to deploy AI at scale, and discuss stocks poised to benefit from this phase of the AI supercycle (see our industry note titled (The AI Infrastructure Cycle: Constraints, Complexity and Value Creation Beyond Computing). Across record capex spending and operating earnings on AI infrastructure companies, we favor stocks of companies well positioned to monetize further gains from labor, power, and reliability constraints. We believe Arcosa, a growth oriented conglomerate focused on infrastructure related products and services, is favorably situated to benefit from increasing AI infrastructure demand. Arcosa's most direct benefit from data centers stems from the opportunity to ease power constraints, particularly for ACA's utility & related structures unit (28% of sales through the first nine months of 2025). Utility & related structures includes (1) utility, transmission and distribution poles, (2) traffic structures (3) lighting poles, and (4) telecom structures. In addition to AI infrastructure construction, we think grid hardening initiatives, including increased electrification and connecting renewables to the grid, also benefit Arcosa. Accelerating demand for ACA's utility & related structures products led to ACA's in-process conversion of a previously idled wind tower manufacturing facility to one that produces large utility poles, with production beginning in 2H:26. We fine-tune our 2026-2027 estimates, as we foresee timing risk in ACA's wind tower business potentially pushing out volumes scheduled for 2026 into 2027. GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV, NC) on January 28 cited softness in U.S. onshore wind orders, and guided to 2026 organic wind revenue (encompassing onshore and offshore wind) of down low double digits. Partially offsetting this, we also lowered our interest expense forecast, assuming greater debt reduction through 2027. All in, we now project 2026 EPS of $4.67 (from $4.77) and 2027 EPS of $5.33 (from $5.40). ACA's net debt stood at $1.4 billion at 3Q:25, for a total debt ratio of 38% and leverage ratio of 2.4x. We model net debt of $869 million (30%, 1.3x) at year-end 2027. ACA's solid balance sheet and record of strong cash flow generation support our moderate risk rating. Our reduced $131 price target (from $134) is based on 28x our reduced 2026 EPS estimate of $4.67 (was $4.77).

More Content

More Content

We Expect 4Q:25 Sales And Profit Gains Across ACA's Three Segments; ACA Well Positioned To Benefit From Power Investment And Other Secular Growth Themes; Maintain $131 Price Target

Companies: Arcosa Inc

Sidoti & Company

Estimates up on increased guidance

Companies: AKER SOLUTIONS (AKSO:STO)Aker Solutions ASA (AKSO:OSL)

ABG Sundal Collier

The AI Infrastructure Cycle: Constraints, Complexity, and Value Creation Beyond Compute

Companies: NWPX ACA IIIN STRL AAON FIX*

Sidoti & Company

Renewable Weekly – 9 February 2026

Companies: FKRAFT ITECH ORSTED AFK BON EOLUB HEX SSO SCATC NEL ORSTED IWS FORTUM VWS BONHR TOM AFK NEL NIBEB ZAP CADLR HPUR ITECH ELMRA EOLUB HEX

ABG Sundal Collier

ACA Reached Its Target Leverage Ratio Two Quarters Ahead Of Schedule; Raise Estimates, Price Target To $134 (From $130)

Companies: Arcosa Inc

Sidoti & Company
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