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  • 19 Dec 2025

Increase Estimates On Share Buyback Assumptions; 2Q:F26 Exceeded Our Estimates; F2026 Operating Guidance Affirmed, Adjusted For Leasebacks; Balance Sheet Improved; $35 Target


SCHOLASTIC (SCHL:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Sidoti & Company
    • Brendan McCarthy, CFA

    • 10 pages


 

We view SCHL's strong brand, content IP, and differentiated school distribution channels as key strengths. Current repositioning efforts in the Education Solutions businesses will require patience, in our view. SCHL closed its previously announced sale-leaseback transactions, generating $401 million in net proceeds. With an increased buyback authorization ($150 million) and a renewed, shareholder focus on capital allocation, we expect SCHL will prioritize share buybacks in the near term. Our increased EPS estimates reflect a roughly 10% reduction in share count in both F2026 and F2027. We update our model to incorporate a net $14 million negative impact on adjusted EBITDA in 2H:F26 due to the sale-leaseback transactions. Our outlook reflects continued headwinds in Education Solutions, with sales down 19% through 1H:F26, and cost reductions to support margins. SCHL updated F2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $146-$156 million (from $160-$170 million), solely due to the $14 million impact from the real estate sale-leaseback transactions, which were not originally included in guidance. SCHL generated EPS of $2.57 in 2Q:F26, above our $2.07 estimate and ahead of $1.82 in the prior year period, driven by strong results in book fairs and trade channel sales as well as good expense management. The balance sheet has meaningfully improved, with the company in a net cash position of nearly $220 million pro-forma for the sale-leasebacks. SCHL has ample flexibility for further buybacks or debt retirement, potential upside catalysts. We maintain our $35 price target, based on 16x our F2027 EPS forecast of $2.18 (from $2.10). Our moderate risk rating balances SCHL's strong market position in children's book publishing and current restructuring initiatives.

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Increase Estimates On Share Buyback Assumptions; 2Q:F26 Exceeded Our Estimates; F2026 Operating Guidance Affirmed, Adjusted For Leasebacks; Balance Sheet Improved; $35 Target


SCHOLASTIC (SCHL:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 19 Dec 2025
  • Author: Brendan McCarthy, CFA
  • Pages: 10
  • Sidoti & Company


We view SCHL's strong brand, content IP, and differentiated school distribution channels as key strengths. Current repositioning efforts in the Education Solutions businesses will require patience, in our view. SCHL closed its previously announced sale-leaseback transactions, generating $401 million in net proceeds. With an increased buyback authorization ($150 million) and a renewed, shareholder focus on capital allocation, we expect SCHL will prioritize share buybacks in the near term. Our increased EPS estimates reflect a roughly 10% reduction in share count in both F2026 and F2027. We update our model to incorporate a net $14 million negative impact on adjusted EBITDA in 2H:F26 due to the sale-leaseback transactions. Our outlook reflects continued headwinds in Education Solutions, with sales down 19% through 1H:F26, and cost reductions to support margins. SCHL updated F2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $146-$156 million (from $160-$170 million), solely due to the $14 million impact from the real estate sale-leaseback transactions, which were not originally included in guidance. SCHL generated EPS of $2.57 in 2Q:F26, above our $2.07 estimate and ahead of $1.82 in the prior year period, driven by strong results in book fairs and trade channel sales as well as good expense management. The balance sheet has meaningfully improved, with the company in a net cash position of nearly $220 million pro-forma for the sale-leasebacks. SCHL has ample flexibility for further buybacks or debt retirement, potential upside catalysts. We maintain our $35 price target, based on 16x our F2027 EPS forecast of $2.18 (from $2.10). Our moderate risk rating balances SCHL's strong market position in children's book publishing and current restructuring initiatives.

More Content

More Content

SCHL Announces Agreements For Sale-Leasebacks Of Owned Real Estate With Net Proceeds Of $401 Million; Maintain $35 Price Target And Estimates Ahead Of Closing, 2Q:F26 Earnings Call

Companies: SCHOLASTIC

Sidoti & Company

Lower F2026 Estimates On Spending Uncertainty; Introduce F2027 Estimates; Detail SCHL's Valuable Real Estate; FCF Supports Strong Balance Sheet; Maintain $35 Price Target

Companies: SCHOLASTIC

Sidoti & Company

Forecast Book Fairs, New Dog Man Publication Drove Improved 2Q:F26 Results; Expect Expense Management To Mitigate Education Solutions Downturn; Maintain Estimates, $35 Price Target

Companies: SCHOLASTIC

Sidoti & Company

1Q:F26 Operating Loss Narrowed On Cost Reductions; F2026 Guidance Affirmed; Ed Solutions Faces Considerable Uncertainty; Real Estate Monetization Progressing; Maintain $35 Price Target

Companies: SCHOLASTIC

Sidoti & Company

Forecast 1Q:F26 Seasonal Operating Loss In Line With 1Q:F25; Bullish On Real Estate Value Potential; Expect Flat Trade Results, Ed Solutions Headwinds In F2026; Maintain $35 Target

Companies: SCHOLASTIC

Sidoti & Company
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