• Research Tree
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Events
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest
  • Explore Content
    • Explore

      • Providers
        • Providers

          • Free/Commissioned
          • High Net Worth Offering
          • Institutional Offering

          Free/Commissioned

          Research that is free to access for all investors. Companies commission these providers to write research about them.

          View Research

          What is our Main Bundle Offering?

          Brokers who write research on their corporate clients and make it available through our main bundle offering.

          View Research

          What is Institutional?

          Research that is paid for directly by asset managers. Only accessible to institutional investors permissioned for access.

          View Research
      • Regions
        • Regions

          • UK
          • Rest of EMEA
          • N America
          • APAC
          • LatAm
      • Exchanges
        • Exchanges

          • Aquis Apex
          • Australian Securities Exchange
          • Canadian Securities Exchange
          • Euronext Paris
          • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
          • SIX Swiss Exchange
      • Sectors
        • Sector Coverage

          • Building & Construction
          • Discretionary Personal Goods
          • Discretionary Retail
          • Energy
          • Health
          • Investment Trusts
          • Media
          • Resources
          • Technology
      • Small / Large Cap
        • Small / Large Cap

          • UK100
          • UK250
          • UK Smallcap
          • UK Other Main Markets
          • Other
  • Login
  • Sign Up
LIVE

Event in Progress:

Join Here ×

working
  • 10 Aug 2025

Lower F2026 Estimates On Spending Uncertainty; Introduce F2027 Estimates; Detail SCHL's Valuable Real Estate; FCF Supports Strong Balance Sheet; Maintain $35 Price Target


SCHOLASTIC (SCHL:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Sidoti & Company
    • Brendan McCarthy

    • 10 pages


 

We view SCHL's strong brand, content IP, and differentiated school distribution channels as key strengths. Current realignment initiatives in SCHL's Education Solutions businesses will require patience, in our view. We expect growth to resume in F2027. We lower our F2026 EPS estimate to reflect ongoing uncertainty around lower school spending hurting the Education Solutions business. We now forecast 2% revenue growth in F2026 (from 5%), incorporating strong results in Children's Book Publishing, while Education Solutions remains challenged. Modest revenue growth and expense discipline back our adjusted EBITDA forecast of $162 million for F2026 (guidance calls for $160-$170 million). Our F2027 estimates incorporate modest 4% revenue growth from F2026, including a benefit from the Entertainment segment. We see a right-sized cost structure backing 10% growth in adjusted EBITDA in F2027 to $178 million. SCHL generated EPS of $0.87 in 4Q:F25, roughly in line with our expectation, with relatively higher taxes and interest expense outpacing strong frontlist title sales of the new Hunger Games book and cost reductions. SCHL's valuable real estate assets could free up a substantial amount of excess capital. Assuming proceeds go toward paying down about $137 million of net debt, we forecast the EV/EBITDA ratio could fall under 2.0x, well below the 8.6x average. SCHL maintains a healthy balance sheet, supported by strong free cash flow generation. We maintain our $35 price target, based on 16x our new F2027 EPS forecast of $2.10. Previously, our price target was based on 16x our prior F2026 estimate of $2.13. Our moderate risk rating balances SCHL's strong market position in children's book publishing and current restructuring initiatives.

Sign up for free to access

Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.

Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.


Get Started
Already a member? Log in here
See all the research we have on this company.

Lower F2026 Estimates On Spending Uncertainty; Introduce F2027 Estimates; Detail SCHL's Valuable Real Estate; FCF Supports Strong Balance Sheet; Maintain $35 Price Target


SCHOLASTIC (SCHL:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 10 Aug 2025
  • Author: Brendan McCarthy
  • Pages: 10
  • Sidoti & Company


We view SCHL's strong brand, content IP, and differentiated school distribution channels as key strengths. Current realignment initiatives in SCHL's Education Solutions businesses will require patience, in our view. We expect growth to resume in F2027. We lower our F2026 EPS estimate to reflect ongoing uncertainty around lower school spending hurting the Education Solutions business. We now forecast 2% revenue growth in F2026 (from 5%), incorporating strong results in Children's Book Publishing, while Education Solutions remains challenged. Modest revenue growth and expense discipline back our adjusted EBITDA forecast of $162 million for F2026 (guidance calls for $160-$170 million). Our F2027 estimates incorporate modest 4% revenue growth from F2026, including a benefit from the Entertainment segment. We see a right-sized cost structure backing 10% growth in adjusted EBITDA in F2027 to $178 million. SCHL generated EPS of $0.87 in 4Q:F25, roughly in line with our expectation, with relatively higher taxes and interest expense outpacing strong frontlist title sales of the new Hunger Games book and cost reductions. SCHL's valuable real estate assets could free up a substantial amount of excess capital. Assuming proceeds go toward paying down about $137 million of net debt, we forecast the EV/EBITDA ratio could fall under 2.0x, well below the 8.6x average. SCHL maintains a healthy balance sheet, supported by strong free cash flow generation. We maintain our $35 price target, based on 16x our new F2027 EPS forecast of $2.10. Previously, our price target was based on 16x our prior F2026 estimate of $2.13. Our moderate risk rating balances SCHL's strong market position in children's book publishing and current restructuring initiatives.

More Content

More Content

Highlight Shareholder Value Initiatives, SCHL's Valuable Real Estate, And Improved F2025 Guidance; Expect Mixed Revenue Trends Drove 4Q:F25 EPS Lower; Maintain $35 Price Target

Companies: SCHOLASTIC

Sidoti & Company

4imprint Group:Steady hands on the tiller

Companies: 4imprint Group plc

Edison

Digitalbox CEO on outperforming the ad market

Companies: Digitalbox PLC

Proactive

On track for scalable growth

Companies: STORYTEL AG (STORYB:STO)Storytel AB Class B (STORY.B:OME)

ABG Sundal Collier

Q2: Solid report

Companies: STORYTEL AG (STORYB:STO)Storytel AB Class B (STORY.B:OME)

ABG Sundal Collier
Research Tree
Useful Links
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • RNS/Newswires Feeds
  • Providers Hub
  • Company Hub
  • Stock Pick League
  • Chrome Extension
  • iOS and Android Apps
  • LLM Feed
Account
  • Login
  • Join Now
  • Contact
  • Follow us on Linkedin
  • Follow us on X

© Research Tree 2025

  • Apple Store
  • Play Store
  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy and Statement on Cookies

Research Tree will never share your details with third parties for marketing purposes. Research Tree distributes research documents that have been produced and approved by Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) Authorised & Regulated firms as well as relevant content from non-authorised sources, who are not regulated but the information is in the public domain. For the avoidance of doubt Research Tree is not giving advice, nor has Research Tree validated any of the information.

Research Tree is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures which is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Top
  • Home
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Event Hub
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest Tracker
  • Explore Content
    • Regions
      • UK
      • Rest of EMEA
      • N America
      • APAC
      • LatAm
    • Exchanges
      • Aquis Apex
      • Australian Securities Exchange
      • Canadian Securities Exchange
      • Euronext Paris
      • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
      • SIX Swiss Exchange
    • Sectors
      • Automobile Industry
      • Banks
      • Building & Construction
      • Chemicals
      • Discretionary Personal Goods
      • Discretionary Retail
      • Energy
      • ETFs
      • Financial Services
      • Food & Drink
      • Food Production
      • Health
      • Household Goods & DIY
      • Industrial Equipment, Goods & Services
      • Insurance & Reinsurance
      • Investment Trusts
      • Leisure, Tourism & Travel
      • Media
      • Open-ended Funds
      • Other
      • Real Estate
      • Resources
      • Staple Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecoms
      • Trusts, ETFs & Funds
      • Utilities
    • Small / Large Cap
      • UK100
      • UK250
      • UK Smallcap
      • UK Other Main Markets
      • Other
    • Private/EIS
      • EIS Single Company
      • EIS/SEIS Funds
      • IHT Products
      • SEIS Single Company
      • VCT Funds
  • Providers
    • Free/Commissioned
      • Actinver
      • Actio Advisors
      • Asset TV
      • Astris Advisory
      • Atrium Research
      • Baden Hill
      • BlytheRay
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Bondcritic
      • Brand Communications
      • Brokerlink
      • BRR Media
      • Calvine Partners
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Capital Markets Brokers
      • Cavendish
      • Checkpoint Partners
      • Clear Capital Markets
      • Couloir Capital
      • Doceo
      • Edison
      • Engage Investor
      • Equity Development
      • eResearch
      • First Equity
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • focusIR
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • goetzpartners securities Limited
      • Golden Section Capital
      • GreenSome Finance
      • GSBR Research
      • H2 Radnor
      • Hardman & Co
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hypothesis Research
      • InterAxS Global
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • London Stock Exchange
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Mello Events
      • Messari Research
      • MUFG Corporate Markets IR
      • Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Optimo Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Paul Scott
      • Peel Hunt
      • PIWORLD / Progressive
      • Proactive
      • Progressive Equity Research
      • Quantum Research Group
      • QuotedData
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Resolve Research
      • SEAL Advisors Ltd
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • StockBox
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Edge Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Trinity Delta
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • UK Investor Group
      • ValueTrack
      • Vox Markets
      • VRS International S.A. - Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS)
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Yaru Investments
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
    • High Net Worth Offering
      • Fox-Davies Capital
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Acquisdata
      • Align Research
      • Allenby Capital
      • AlphaValue
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • Baptista Research
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Hybridan
      • Kemeny Capital
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Louis Capital
      • Magnitogorsk Iron and steel works
      • Medley Global Advisors
      • Northland Capital Partners
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Shard Capital
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel FirstEnergy
      • Stockdale Securities
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • VSA Capital
      • Whitman Howard
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zeus Capital
    • Institutional Offering
      • Fox-Davies Capital
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Allenby Capital
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • BNP Paribas Exane
      • Bondcritic
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • Edison
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • Golden Section Capital
      • Goodbody
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hybridan
      • InterAxS Global
      • Investec Bank
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • Numis
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Peel Hunt
      • QuotedData
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Shard Capital
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel
      • StockBox
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • ValueTrack
      • Velocity Trade
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
  • Contact
  • Sign Up
  • Sign In