Our unchanged 3Q:25 EPS estimate of $1.87 matches the year-earlier level, based on nearly unchanged total revenue.
We anticipate margin contraction against 3Q:24 to be offset by interest expense savings of approximately $4.6 million due to reduced debt levels.
In July, MGRC updated full-year guidance for total revenue of $925-$960 million (versus our $947.1 million estimate) and adjusted (for one-time items, transaction costs, and non-operating transactions) EBITDA of $347-$356 million (versus our $351 million estimate).
We anticipate management commentary to update prior messaging, which hinted at the potential for reduced client demand from construction customers.
We maintain our EPS estimates of $6.31 in 2025 and $6.73 in 2026. Our estimates imply annual EPS growth of 20.9% and 6.6%, respectively.
Our free cash flow per share estimates of $6.52 in 2025 and $7.18 in 2026 imply respective FCF yields of 5.5% and 6.0%.
Our $148 price target is based on 22x our 2026 EPS estimate of $6.73. Free cash flow, the balance sheet and the long-term dividend growth profile support the multiple and our moderate risk rating, in our view.
McGrath RentCorp will be participating in the Sidoti December Small-Cap Virtual Conference on December 10-11.
20 Oct 2025
Our 3Q:25 EPS Estimate Of $1.87 Matches Year Earlier, With Margin Contraction Offset By Lower Interest Expenses; Near-Term EPS CAGR Of 13.5% And Free Cash Flow Support $148 Price Target
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Our 3Q:25 EPS Estimate Of $1.87 Matches Year Earlier, With Margin Contraction Offset By Lower Interest Expenses; Near-Term EPS CAGR Of 13.5% And Free Cash Flow Support $148 Price Target
Our unchanged 3Q:25 EPS estimate of $1.87 matches the year-earlier level, based on nearly unchanged total revenue.
We anticipate margin contraction against 3Q:24 to be offset by interest expense savings of approximately $4.6 million due to reduced debt levels.
In July, MGRC updated full-year guidance for total revenue of $925-$960 million (versus our $947.1 million estimate) and adjusted (for one-time items, transaction costs, and non-operating transactions) EBITDA of $347-$356 million (versus our $351 million estimate).
We anticipate management commentary to update prior messaging, which hinted at the potential for reduced client demand from construction customers.
We maintain our EPS estimates of $6.31 in 2025 and $6.73 in 2026. Our estimates imply annual EPS growth of 20.9% and 6.6%, respectively.
Our free cash flow per share estimates of $6.52 in 2025 and $7.18 in 2026 imply respective FCF yields of 5.5% and 6.0%.
Our $148 price target is based on 22x our 2026 EPS estimate of $6.73. Free cash flow, the balance sheet and the long-term dividend growth profile support the multiple and our moderate risk rating, in our view.
McGrath RentCorp will be participating in the Sidoti December Small-Cap Virtual Conference on December 10-11.