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  • 23 Feb 2026

Our 4Q:25 EPS Growth Estimate Supported By Expected Revenue Gains, Margin Expansion And Lower Interest Expenses; EPS Growth Through 2027 And Free Cash Flow Support $148 Target


MCGRATH RENTCORP (MGRC:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Sidoti & Company
    • Marc Riddick, CFA

    • 10 pages


 

McGrath RentCorp appointed current EVP and Chief Operating Officer Philip B. Hawkins as president and chief executive officer, effective April 2026, succeeding Joseph F. Hanna, who will retire. We are confident in a seamless transition as Mr. Hawkins has been with MGRC since 2004 and worked closely with Mr. Hanna for nearly two decades. Our 4Q:25 EPS estimate of $1.76 (up from $1.58 in 4Q:24) implies 11.3% growth based on revenue gains, margin expansion and lower interest expenses. We forecast rental revenue growth of 5.3%, partially offset by a 4.0% reduction in equipment and other sales. In October, management updated full year guidance for total revenue to $935-$955 million (from $925-$960 million). We maintain our EPS estimates of $6.09 in 2025, $6.62 in 2026 and $7.07 in 2027. Our estimates imply annual EPS growth of 16.5%, 8.8% and 6.7%, respectively. Our free cash flow per share estimates of $6.25 in 2025, $7.06 in 2026 and $7.63 in 2027 imply respective FCF yields of 5.5%, 6.3% and 6.8%. Our $148 price target is based on 21x our 2027 EPS estimate of $7.07. Our multiple nearly matches the historical average forward P/E of 20x. Free cash flow, a solid balance sheet and the long-term dividend growth profile support our multiple and moderate risk rating, in our view.

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Our 4Q:25 EPS Growth Estimate Supported By Expected Revenue Gains, Margin Expansion And Lower Interest Expenses; EPS Growth Through 2027 And Free Cash Flow Support $148 Target


MCGRATH RENTCORP (MGRC:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%


  • Published: 23 Feb 2026
  • Author: Marc Riddick, CFA
  • Pages: 10
  • Sidoti & Company


McGrath RentCorp appointed current EVP and Chief Operating Officer Philip B. Hawkins as president and chief executive officer, effective April 2026, succeeding Joseph F. Hanna, who will retire. We are confident in a seamless transition as Mr. Hawkins has been with MGRC since 2004 and worked closely with Mr. Hanna for nearly two decades. Our 4Q:25 EPS estimate of $1.76 (up from $1.58 in 4Q:24) implies 11.3% growth based on revenue gains, margin expansion and lower interest expenses. We forecast rental revenue growth of 5.3%, partially offset by a 4.0% reduction in equipment and other sales. In October, management updated full year guidance for total revenue to $935-$955 million (from $925-$960 million). We maintain our EPS estimates of $6.09 in 2025, $6.62 in 2026 and $7.07 in 2027. Our estimates imply annual EPS growth of 16.5%, 8.8% and 6.7%, respectively. Our free cash flow per share estimates of $6.25 in 2025, $7.06 in 2026 and $7.63 in 2027 imply respective FCF yields of 5.5%, 6.3% and 6.8%. Our $148 price target is based on 21x our 2027 EPS estimate of $7.07. Our multiple nearly matches the historical average forward P/E of 20x. Free cash flow, a solid balance sheet and the long-term dividend growth profile support our multiple and moderate risk rating, in our view.

More Content

More Content

We View Broad-Based Client Demand Trends As Favorable For MGRC In 2026, With Potential Upside From Construction Recovery; Our 2025-2027 EPS CAGR Of 10.6% Supports $148 Target

Companies: MCGRATH RENTCORP

Sidoti & Company

Market conditions yet to improve

Companies: eWork Group (EWRK:STO)Ework Group AB (EWRK:OME)

ABG Sundal Collier

Reported 3Q:25 EPS Miss Our Estimate Due To Lower Equipment Sales; Management Guidance, Free Cash Flow And Our 2025-2027 Estimates Support Our $148 Price Target, In Our View

Companies: MCGRATH RENTCORP

Sidoti & Company

Renewable Weekly – 23 February 2026

Companies: FKRAFT ITECH ORSTED AFK BON EOLUB HEX SSO SCATC NEL ORSTED IWS FORTUM VWS BONHR TOM AFK NEL NIBEB ZAP CADLR HPUR ITECH ELMRA EOLUB HEX

ABG Sundal Collier

Our 3Q:25 EPS Estimate Of $1.87 Matches Year Earlier, With Margin Contraction Offset By Lower Interest Expenses; Near-Term EPS CAGR Of 13.5% And Free Cash Flow Support $148 Price Target

Companies: MCGRATH RENTCORP

Sidoti & Company
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