• Research Tree
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Events
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest
  • Explore Content
    • Explore

      • Providers
        • Providers

          • Free/Commissioned
          • High Net Worth Offering
          • Institutional Offering

          Free/Commissioned

          Research that is free to access for all investors. Companies commission these providers to write research about them.

          View Research

          What is our Main Bundle Offering?

          Brokers who write research on their corporate clients and make it available through our main bundle offering.

          View Research

          What is Institutional?

          Research that is paid for directly by asset managers. Only accessible to institutional investors permissioned for access.

          View Research
      • Regions
        • Regions

          • UK
          • Rest of EMEA
          • N America
          • APAC
          • LatAm
      • Exchanges
        • Exchanges

          • Aquis Apex
          • Australian Securities Exchange
          • Canadian Securities Exchange
          • Euronext Paris
          • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
          • SIX Swiss Exchange
      • Sectors
        • Sector Coverage

          • Building & Construction
          • Discretionary Personal Goods
          • Discretionary Retail
          • Energy
          • Health
          • Investment Trusts
          • Media
          • Resources
          • Technology
      • Small / Large Cap
        • Small / Large Cap

          • UK100
          • UK250
          • UK Smallcap
          • UK Other Main Markets
          • Other
  • Login
  • Sign Up
LIVE

Event in Progress:

Join Here ×

working
  • 20 Apr 2021

Investec UK Daily: 20/04/2021


Associated British Foods plc (ABF:LON), 2,250 | British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BATS:LON), 4,134 | Hargreaves Services plc (HSP:LON), 721 | James Fisher and Sons plc (FSJ:LON), 328 | Mony Group PLC (MONY:LON), 206 | Petrofac Limited (PFC:LON), 3.8 | Renalytix Plc (RENX:LON), 5.8

  • Investec Bank
    • Alastair Reid | Ross Broadfoot | Ben Bourne | Ben Hunt, CFA | Kate Calvert | Michael Donnelly | Alicia Forry, CFA | Anthony Geard | Thomas Rands, CFA | Dr Jens Lindqvist

    • 11 pages


 

This content is only available within our institutional offering.

Sign in

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account

This content is only available to commercial clients. Sign in if you have access or contact support@research-tree.com to set up a commercial account


Sign In
Not a commercial user? Register here for our wider research bundle

Investec UK Daily: 20/04/2021


Associated British Foods plc (ABF:LON), 2,250 | British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BATS:LON), 4,134 | Hargreaves Services plc (HSP:LON), 721 | James Fisher and Sons plc (FSJ:LON), 328 | Mony Group PLC (MONY:LON), 206 | Petrofac Limited (PFC:LON), 3.8 | Renalytix Plc (RENX:LON), 5.8

  • Published: 20 Apr 2021
  • Author: Alastair Reid | Ross Broadfoot | Ben Bourne | Ben Hunt, CFA | Kate Calvert | Michael Donnelly | Alicia Forry, CFA | Anthony Geard | Thomas Rands, CFA | Dr Jens Lindqvist
  • Pages: 11
  • Investec Bank


AO World reported UK sales accelerated again in Q4, +88%, having been +67.2% in Q3 (H1: +54%). Dixons UK&I business has to date reported LfLs up 8% in P3 (with online sales +121%) having been +16% at H1 (with online sales +145%). Dixons will report pre-close sales on Wednesday 28th April. UK&I forecasts at Dixons Carphone look increasingly conservative: our estimates assume momentum slows, post P3, with LfL growth of 1.8% in H2 - implying flat to negative LfLs over the remaining weeks of H2 during Lockdown #3. Given further measures to provide more assisted selling online, with ShopLiv in place, we expect Dixons to have picked up even more online market share then it did in Lockdown #1 - when UK&I LfL sales were +4% with online sales +218%, for the 8 weeks to 27th June. Our cost assumptions this year may also prove to be too cautious as well. We assume opex falls by £47m in H2 (-9.5% YoY versus £52m, -11%YoY, in H1). Within our H2 opex forecast, we assume furlough relief of just £27m, below H1’s £38m, despite management likely to have used as much as three months of furlough in H2, versus for 7 weeks in H1 (see further details on page 19 of our note here). Upside to next year’s forecasts? We expect that, with demand pulled forward into FY21 from outer years, coupled with a tough macroeconomic backdrop, the UK&I electrical market is likely to remain subdued in FY22 and FY23. Therefore, we assume LfLs decline at UK&I by 6.5% in FY22E, before returning to growth in FY23E. However, with the business rates holiday now extended to the end of June, we think there could be as much as c. £14m of upside to our FY22E UK&I EBIT forecast. In the round: As we have previously argued, a slimmed-down Mobile business should reduce profit drag going forward, and it could even become disruptive. If Dixons can generate £1bn of FCF between FY20 and FY24, as targeted by management, the valuation is very much underpinned. Buy.

More Content

More Content

PANMURE LIBERUM: Consumer sector: Business rates changes explained: Surprisingly good news

Companies: ASC ABF BME CARD CURY DEBS DNLM FRAS GRG HFD JD/ MOON WINE NXT PETS THG VIC VINO WIX DFS ASC ABF BME CARD CURY DEBS DNLM FRAS GRG HFD JD/ MOON WINE NXT PETS THG VIC VINO WIX DFS

Panmure Liberum

Looking Ahead – w/c 25th Jan 2021

Companies: 0RXBTVCFSCETYMSTEMHSPSNWSTPT

Research Tree

British American Tobacco:Building momentum

Companies: British American Tobacco p.l.c.

Edison

6 powerful and profitable UK platform stocks

Companies: MONYRMVJE/ZPGAUTOG4M

Research Tree

BAT – H125 results highlights

Companies: British American Tobacco p.l.c.

Edison
Research Tree
Useful Links
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • RNS/Newswires Feeds
  • Providers Hub
  • Company Hub
  • Stock Pick League
  • Chrome Extension
  • iOS and Android Apps
  • LLM Feed
Account
  • Login
  • Join Now
  • Contact
  • Follow us on Linkedin
  • Follow us on X

© Research Tree 2025

  • Apple Store
  • Play Store
  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy and Statement on Cookies

Research Tree will never share your details with third parties for marketing purposes. Research Tree distributes research documents that have been produced and approved by Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) Authorised & Regulated firms as well as relevant content from non-authorised sources, who are not regulated but the information is in the public domain. For the avoidance of doubt Research Tree is not giving advice, nor has Research Tree validated any of the information.

Research Tree is an Appointed Representative of Sturgeon Ventures which is Authorised and Regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Top
  • Home
  • Features
  • Pricing
  • Event Hub
  • Reg.News
  • Short Interest Tracker
  • Explore Content
    • Regions
      • UK
      • Rest of EMEA
      • N America
      • APAC
      • LatAm
    • Exchanges
      • Aquis Apex
      • Australian Securities Exchange
      • Canadian Securities Exchange
      • Euronext Paris
      • London Stock Exchange (domestic)
      • SIX Swiss Exchange
    • Sectors
      • Automobile Industry
      • Banks
      • Building & Construction
      • Chemicals
      • Discretionary Personal Goods
      • Discretionary Retail
      • Energy
      • ETFs
      • Financial Services
      • Food & Drink
      • Food Production
      • Health
      • Household Goods & DIY
      • Industrial Equipment, Goods & Services
      • Insurance & Reinsurance
      • Investment Trusts
      • Leisure, Tourism & Travel
      • Media
      • Open-ended Funds
      • Other
      • Real Estate
      • Resources
      • Staple Retail
      • Technology
      • Telecoms
      • Trusts, ETFs & Funds
      • Utilities
    • Small / Large Cap
      • UK100
      • UK250
      • UK Smallcap
      • UK Other Main Markets
      • Other
    • Private/EIS
      • EIS Single Company
      • EIS/SEIS Funds
      • IHT Products
      • SEIS Single Company
      • VCT Funds
  • Providers
    • Free/Commissioned
      • Actinver
      • Actio Advisors
      • Asset TV
      • Astris Advisory
      • Atrium Research
      • Baden Hill
      • BlytheRay
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Bondcritic
      • Brand Communications
      • Brokerlink
      • BRR Media
      • Calvine Partners
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Capital Markets Brokers
      • Cavendish
      • Checkpoint Partners
      • Clear Capital Markets
      • Couloir Capital
      • Doceo
      • Edison
      • Engage Investor
      • Equity Development
      • eResearch
      • First Equity
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • focusIR
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • goetzpartners securities Limited
      • Golden Section Capital
      • GreenSome Finance
      • GSBR Research
      • H2 Radnor
      • Hardman & Co
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hypothesis Research
      • InterAxS Global
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • London Stock Exchange
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Mello Events
      • Messari Research
      • MUFG Corporate Markets IR
      • Nippon Investment Bespoke Research UK
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Optimo Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Paul Scott
      • Peel Hunt
      • PIWORLD / Progressive
      • Proactive
      • Progressive Equity Research
      • Quantum Research Group
      • QuotedData
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Resolve Research
      • SEAL Advisors Ltd
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • StockBox
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Edge Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Trinity Delta
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • UK Investor Group
      • ValueTrack
      • Vox Markets
      • VRS International S.A. - Valuation & Research Specialists (VRS)
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Yaru Investments
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
    • High Net Worth Offering
      • Fox-Davies Capital
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Acquisdata
      • Align Research
      • Allenby Capital
      • AlphaValue
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • Baptista Research
      • BNP Paribas Exane - Sponsored Research
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Hybridan
      • Kemeny Capital
      • Longspur Clean Energy
      • Louis Capital
      • Magnitogorsk Iron and steel works
      • Medley Global Advisors
      • Northland Capital Partners
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Shard Capital
      • ShareSoc
      • Shore Capital
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel FirstEnergy
      • Stockdale Securities
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • Turner Pope Investments
      • VSA Capital
      • Whitman Howard
      • Yellowstone Advisory
      • Zeus Capital
    • Institutional Offering
      • Fox-Davies Capital
      • ABG Sundal Collier
      • ACF Equity Research
      • Allenby Capital
      • Alternative Resource Capital
      • Arctic Securities
      • Arden Partners
      • Auctus Advisors
      • BNP Paribas Exane
      • Bondcritic
      • Canaccord Genuity
      • Capital Access Group
      • Capital Link
      • Cavendish
      • Couloir Capital
      • Degroof Petercam
      • Dowgate Capital
      • Edison
      • First Berlin
      • First Equity
      • First Sentinel
      • Five Minute Pitch TV
      • Fundamental Research Corp
      • Galliano’s Latin Notes
      • GBC AG
      • Golden Section Capital
      • Goodbody
      • Greenwood Capital Partners
      • Hannam & Partners
      • Holland Advisors
      • Hybridan
      • InterAxS Global
      • Investec Bank
      • Kepler | Trust Intelligence
      • Numis
      • NuWays
      • OAK Securities
      • Oberon Capital
      • Panmure Liberum
      • Peel Hunt
      • QuotedData
      • QuotedData Professional
      • Research Dynamics
      • Research Tree
      • Shard Capital
      • Shore Capital
      • Sidoti & Company
      • Singer Capital Markets
      • Small Cap Consumer Research LLC
      • SP Angel
      • Stanford Capital Partners
      • Stifel
      • StockBox
      • Tamesis Partners
      • Tennyson Securities
      • The AIC
      • The Business Magazine Group
      • The Life Sciences Division
      • ValueTrack
      • Velocity Trade
      • VSA Capital
      • Winterflood Securities
      • World Platinum Investment Council
      • Zacks Small Cap Research
      • Zeus Capital
  • Contact
  • Sign Up
  • Sign In